LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPTH) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.0% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that LightPath Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How LightPath Technologies Has Been Performing
LightPath Technologies' negative revenue growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. It seems that few are expecting the company's revenue performance to deviate much from most other companies, which has held the P/S back. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. In saying that, existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the share price if the company's revenue continues tracking the industry.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on LightPath Technologies.
How Is LightPath Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, LightPath Technologies would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.7% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.0%, which is not materially different.
With this in mind, it makes sense that LightPath Technologies' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
LightPath Technologies' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've seen that LightPath Technologies maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with LightPath Technologies.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on LightPath Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.