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Brunswick (NYSE:BC) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Brunswick (NYSE:BC) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Brunswick(紐交所:BC)在債務使用方面承擔了一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  10/04 22:36

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Brunswick Corporation (NYSE:BC) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不掩飾地說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是您是否將遭受永久性資本損失。」 因此,當您考慮任何特定股票的風險性時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。 值得注意的是,brunswick corporation (紐交所:BC) 確實存在債務。 但是這種債務是否會讓股東擔憂呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還債權人,那麼它存在的就是在債權人的掌控下。資本主義的重要組成部分是"創造性毀滅"的過程,即失敗的企業被銀行家無情清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,我們經常看到負債的公司因貸款人強迫其以低價募集資本而永久性稀釋股東權益。然而,債務可以取代稀釋,成爲需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要查看現金和債務。

What Is Brunswick's Debt?

布倫斯威克的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Brunswick had debt of US$2.83b, up from US$2.51b in one year. However, it does have US$577.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$2.25b.

下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更詳細信息,顯示截至 2024 年 6 月,brunswick的債務爲 28.3 億美元,比一年前的 25.1 億美元增加。 然而,公司擁有 5,7700 萬美元的現金,抵消了這一數字,導致淨債務約爲 22.5 億美元。

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NYSE:BC Debt to Equity History October 4th 2024
紐交所:BC 債務股本比歷史數據 2024 年 10 月 4 日

How Healthy Is Brunswick's Balance Sheet?

Brunswick的資產負債表健康狀況如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Brunswick had liabilities of US$1.61b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.77b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$577.0m in cash and US$530.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.28b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,Brunswick有短期到期的負債達到16.1億美元,以及27.7億美元的長期到期負債。與此相抵,它有5.77億美元的現金和0.53億美元應在12個月內到期的應收款項。因此,它的總負債超過了32.8億美元,超過了其現金和短期應收款項的合計。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$5.41b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Brunswick's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

相對於其54.1億美元的市值,這個赤字相當可觀,因此確實表明股東應該密切關注Brunswick的債務運用。如果其債權人要求加強資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了比較一個公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前的收益和利息前的收益(其利息覆蓋率)。因此,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量以及支付的利率。

Brunswick's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.5 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 6.1 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Importantly, Brunswick's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 31% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Brunswick can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Brunswick的淨負債相對於其EBITDA非常合理,爲2.5倍,而其EBIT去年的利息支出只覆蓋了6.1倍。雖然這些數字並未引起我們的警惕,但值得注意的是,公司債務成本確實產生了實質影響。重要的是,Brunswick的EBIT在過去十二個月驚人地下降了31%。如果這種盈利趨勢持續下去,那麼償還債務將會像把貓趕上過山車一樣困難。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要關注的重點。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定Brunswick是否可以隨着時間加強其資產負債表。所以,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,展示分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Brunswick recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能勝任。因此邏輯的下一步是查看EBIT與實際自由現金流匹配的比例。回顧最近的三年,Brunswick記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的28%,這比我們預期的要弱。在還債方面,情況並不樂觀。

Our View

我們的觀點

Mulling over Brunswick's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. Having said that, its ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't such a worry. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Brunswick's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Brunswick you should know about.

考慮到brunswick corporation嘗試(非)增加其EBIT,我們肯定不是很樂觀。 話雖如此,它用其EBIT支付其利息費用的能力並不是一個值得擔心的問題。 從更大的角度看,對我們來說很明顯,brunswick corporation利用債務正在爲該公司製造風險。 如果一切順利,這應該會提高回報,但另一方面,債務會提高永久性資本損失的風險。 毫無疑問,我們更多地從資產負債表中了解到債務的情況。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。 這些風險可能難以識別。 每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現brunswick corporation的1個警告信號,您應該知道。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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