Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Shareholders Have Earned a 14% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ:ADP) Shareholders Have Earned a 14% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) share price is up 72% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 14%.
長期投資的主要目的是賺錢。更好的是,您希望看到股價的漲幅超過市場平均水平。不幸的是,對於股東來說,儘管納斯達克:自動數據處理公司(NASDAQ:ADP)的股價在過去五年中上漲了72%,但這低於市場回報。僅看過去一年,該股上漲了14%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆與多德維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映了一家企業的價值。考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何轉變的一種不完美但簡單的方法,是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價的動態進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Automatic Data Processing achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 12% per year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 11%. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
在五年的股價增長期間,自動數據處理公司的每股收益(EPS)複合增長率達到每年12%。這使得每股收益的增長特別接近每年11%的股價增長率。這表明投資者對該公司的情緒並沒有發生很大變化。相反,股價大致上跟蹤每股收益的增長。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。
We know that Automatic Data Processing has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
我們知道自動數據處理最近改善了其底線,但它是否會增長營業收入?如果您感興趣,可以查看這份顯示共識營收預測的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Automatic Data Processing, it has a TSR of 91% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在投資回報時,重要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價變化,而TSR包括紅利價值(假設重新投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或分拆的好處。對於支付豐厚紅利的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。就自動數據處理而言,過去5年TSR爲91%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,紅利支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Automatic Data Processing shareholders are up 17% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 14% over half a decade This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. Before spending more time on Automatic Data Processing it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.
自動數據處理的股東今年實現了17%的回報(包括紅利)。但這種回報仍遠低於市場水平。好消息是,這仍然是收益,並且實際上比過去半個世紀的平均回報14%更好。這可能表明公司正在贏得新投資者的支持,因爲它正在執行其策略。在花費更多時間研究自動數據處理之前,點擊這裏查看內部人員是否一直在買入或賣出股份可能是明智之舉。
Of course Automatic Data Processing may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,自動數據處理可能不是最好的股票購買選擇。因此,您可能希望查看這些免費的成長股收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。