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Investing in Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 201% Gain

Investing in Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 201% Gain

五年前投資摩根士丹利(紐交所:MS)將使您獲得201%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  09/30 19:00

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) share price has soared 156% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. We note the stock price is up 1.6% in the last seven days.

當您買入股票時,總會有可能跌幅達到100%。但值得一提的是,如果您以合適的價格買入高質量公司的股份,您可以獲得超過100%的收益。例如,摩根士丹利(紐交所:MS)的股價在過去半個十年內大漲了156%。大多數人對此應該感到非常滿意。我們注意到股價在過去七天上漲了1.6%。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否和股東的回報率相符。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但扁平地球協會將空前盛行。市場上的價格和價值將繼續存在巨大差異… 」檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During five years of share price growth, Morgan Stanley achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 5.5% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 21% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

在五年的股價增長期間,摩慄士丹利的每股收益複合增長率爲5.5%。這一每股收益增長率低於股價的年均增長率21%。因此,可以合理假設市場比五年前更看好這家企業。鑑於其增長記錄,這並不令人震驚。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。

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NYSE:MS Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024
紐交所:摩根士丹利2024年9月30日每股收益增長

This free interactive report on Morgan Stanley's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

這份免費的互動報告涵蓋了摩根士丹利的收益、營業收入和現金流,如果您想進一步調查這支股票,這是一個很好的開始。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Morgan Stanley, it has a TSR of 201% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何分拆或折價資金籌集的價值,以及任何分紅,基於分紅被再投資的假設。 可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。 就摩根士丹利而言,過去5年的TSR爲201%。 這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。 這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Morgan Stanley shareholders have received returns of 35% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 25% per year. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Morgan Stanley that you should be aware of before investing here.

摩根士丹利股東在過去12個月中獲得了35%的回報(即使包括分紅在內),這與一般市場回報相差無幾。 這份收益看起來相當令人滿意,甚至比過去5年的TSR每年25%更好。 可能管理層的遠見將帶來未來的增長,即使股價放緩。 雖然值得考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響,但還有更重要的其他因素。 例如,我們發現了摩根士丹利的2個警示跡象,您在此投資之前應注意。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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