When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Cricut, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRCT) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Cricut certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cricut, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Growth For Cricut?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Cricut would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 40% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 68% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's alarming that Cricut's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Cricut's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Cricut currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Cricut (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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當美國近一半的公司市盈率低於18倍時,您可能會考慮避開 Cricut, Inc. (納斯達克: CRCT) 這支股票,因爲它的市盈率爲 21.9倍。儘管如此,我們需要深入挖掘,以判斷這高市盈率是否存在合理的基礎。