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Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC)?

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC)?

現在是時機適宜檢查taylor morrison home公司(紐交所: TMHC)嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/26 20:25

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (NYSE:TMHC), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 27% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. The company is inching closer to its yearly highs following the recent share price climb. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let's examine Taylor Morrison Home's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.

Taylor Morrison Home公司(紐交所: TMHC)可能不是最大的公司,但在過去幾個月紐交所股價上漲了27%。這家公司正逐漸接近年度高點,跟隨着最近的股價攀升。作爲一隻受到分析師高度關注的中型市值股,你可能會認爲公司最近的業績變化已經反映在股價中。但如果還存在買入機會呢?讓我們更詳細地研究Taylor Morrison Home的估值和前景,以確定是否仍有折價機會。

What's The Opportunity In Taylor Morrison Home?

Taylor Morrison Home存在哪些機會?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 9.68x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 12.09x, which means if you buy Taylor Morrison Home today, you'd be paying a decent price for it. And if you believe Taylor Morrison Home should be trading in this range, then there isn't much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Taylor Morrison Home's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

根據我們的價格倍數模型,目前Taylor Morrison Home的股價看起來很合理,我們將公司的市盈率與行業平均值進行比較。這一次我們使用市盈率是因爲目前還沒有足夠的可見性來預測其現金流。目前,該股的市盈率爲9.68倍,略低於同行業同行12.09倍的市盈率,這意味着如果今天買入Taylor Morrison Home,你就會以一個合理的價格購買。如果你認爲Taylor Morrison Home應該在這個區間交易,那麼股價在長期內不太可能超過其他同行業同行水平。那麼,未來還有買入低位的機會嗎?考慮到Taylor Morrison Home的股價相當波動(即其價格波動相對於市場其他部分被放大),這可能意味着價格還會下跌,給我們提供稍後購買的機會。這是基於其高貝塔值,它是股價波動的良好指標。

What does the future of Taylor Morrison Home look like?

Taylor Morrison Home的未來展望如何?

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NYSE:TMHC Earnings and Revenue Growth September 26th 2024
紐交所: TMHC 2024年9月26日收入和營收增長

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Taylor Morrison Home's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 29%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

投資者們在購買股票之前,可能會考慮一個公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會認爲相對價格的內在價值最爲重要,但更具吸引力的投資論點將是高增長潛力以較低價格。Taylor Morrison Home未來幾年的盈利預計將增長29%,預示着一段非常樂觀的未來。這將帶來更強勁的現金流,有助於提升股價價值。

What This Means For You

這對您意味着什麼?

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in TMHC's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at TMHC? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

您是股東嗎?市場似乎已經考慮了TMHC的積極前景,股價在行業價格區間交易。然而,今天我們沒有考慮的其他重要因素,比如管理團隊的歷史記錄。這些因素自您上次看過TMHC有變化嗎?如果價格波動低於行業市盈率,您是否有足夠的信心買入?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on TMHC, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for TMHC, which means it's worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

您是潛在投資者嗎?如果您一直關注TMHC,現在可能不是最有利的買入時機,因爲它的股價在行業價格區間交易。然而,樂觀的預測對TMHC是鼓舞人心的,這意味着值得進一步審查其他因素,比如其資產負債表的實力,以便利用下一輪股價下跌。

Since timing is quite important when it comes to individual stock picking, it's worth taking a look at what those latest analysts forecasts are. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.

由於個人股票的選擇時間相當重要,因此看看最新的分析師預測也是值得一看的。在 Simply Wall S t,我們有分析師的估計,您可以單擊此處查看。

If you are no longer interested in Taylor Morrison Home, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您對Taylor Morrison Home不再感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們超過50支其他高增長潛力股票的名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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