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Salesforce's Free Cash Flow Could Double by 2029 Amid AI Push, Analyst Says While Upgrading Stock

Salesforce's Free Cash Flow Could Double by 2029 Amid AI Push, Analyst Says While Upgrading Stock

賽富時的自由現金流可能在2029年翻倍,據一位分析師稱,同時上調股票評級。
Benzinga ·  09/25 02:40

Piper Sandler analyst Brent Bracelin upgraded Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM) from Neutral to Overweight and raised the price target from $268 to $325.

派傑投資分析師布倫特·布拉塞林將賽富時公司(紐交所:CRM)的評級從中立調升爲增持,並將目標股價從268美元提高至325美元。

The re-rating reflects a favorable risk-reward given the potential for free cash flow per share to double to $20+ by fiscal 2029 (calendar 2028) from $9.65 in fiscal 2024 (calendar 2023), even if top-line growth remains at subdued levels of 8%-9%.

對於自由現金流每股收入在2029財年(2028年日曆)從2024財年(2023年日曆)的9.65美元翻倍至20美元以上的潛力以及即使銷售額增長保持在8%-9%的低水平,重新評估反映出了有利的風險回報。

Bracelin flagged that Salesforce also has the lowest valuation multiple relative to large-cap software peers on an Enterprise Value-to-Sales, Enterprise Value-to-Free Cash Flow, and Price-to-Earnings basis.

布拉塞林指出,相對於大型軟件同行的企業銷售價值、企業自由現金流價值和市盈率,賽富時的估值倍數是最低的。

Also Read: NVIDIA, Salesforce Announce Strategic AI Collaboration: What To Know

此外閱讀:英偉達,賽富時宣佈戰略人工智能合作:需要了解的內容

Discussions last week with the leadership team, partners, and customers gave the analyst confidence that new pricing and packaging could broaden multi-cloud adoption.

上週與領導團隊、合作伙伴和客戶進行的討論使分析師對新的定價和打包能夠拓寬多雲採用範圍充滿信心。

The promise of Agentforce powered by the Atlas Reasoning Engine paired with Data Cloud could help stabilize demand and drive a recovery entering calendar 2026 (fiscal 2027).

由Atlas Reasoning Engine驅動的Agentforce與Data Cloud的承諾,有助於穩定需求並推動在2026年日曆(2027財年)進入復甦。

Bracelin raised estimates using a target EV/FCF of 23x (versus 22x prior) and a 14% discount rate (16% prior).

布拉塞林使用目標EV/FCF爲23倍(較之前的22倍)和14%的折現率(之前爲16%)提高了估計。

Bracelin noted that the combination of free multi-cloud options via the new Foundations suite for existing Sales or Service cloud customers and the 52% ARPU uplift to Einstein 1 versus Unlimited could be crucial in sparking a growth recovery from calendar 2025 (fiscal 2026) to calendar 2026 (fiscal 2027).

布拉塞林指出,通過爲現有Sales或Service雲客戶提供新的Foundations套件的免費多雲選項以及相對於Unlimited的Einstein 1的52% ARPU提高,這兩者對於從2025年日曆(2026財年)到2026年日曆(2027財年)的成長復甦可能至關重要。

The analyst flagged that Salesforce has historically provided new platform updates three times per year. However, the pace of AI has changed this cadence, most notably within Data Cloud, where new platform updates are released monthly.

分析師指出,賽富時歷來每年提供新平台更新三次。然而,人工智能的速度改變了這種節奏,特別是在數據雲領域,新平台更新每月發佈。

Salesforce chief Marc Benioff and team are operating in "founder mode" with the accelerated pace of internal product execution, supported by veteran boomerangs and new management add that bring strong backgrounds from Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Amazon.Com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) Amazon Web Service, Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Google, Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), and more Bracelin highlighted.

賽富時首席執行官Marc Benioff和團隊正在以"創始人模式"運行,加快內部產品執行的步伐,得到了資深老將和新的管理人員的支持,他們來自微軟公司(納斯達克代碼:MSFT)、亞馬遜公司(納斯達克代碼:AMZN)亞馬遜網絡服務,字母表公司(納斯達克代碼:GOOG)(納斯達克代碼:GOOGL)谷歌,甲骨文公司(紐交所代碼:ORCL),Bracelin 強調。

Years of manual Trailblazer developer work building Flows and Apex Actions have turned into a strategic advantage, according to the analyst. He added that these can be repurposed to provide critical guard rails to power agents via the Atlas Reasoning Engine paired with Data Cloud.

多年來,Trailblazer開發人員進行的手動流程和 Apex 操作構建變成了一種戰略優勢,分析師表示。他補充說,這些可重新利用,以通過與數據雲結合的 Atlas 推理引擎爲代理提供關鍵的保障。

Further margin leverage and buybacks could sustain low double-digit free cash flow growth per share for the next 3-5 years. CRM shares could benefit from earnings and multiple expansions, as per Bracelin.

進一步的利潤率槓桿和股份回購可能會維持每股自由現金流增長低兩位數百分比,未來3-5年。根據 Bracelin 的說法,賽富時股票可能受益於盈利和多重膨脹。

Bracelin projects third-quarter revenue of $9.34 billion and EPS of $2.43.

Bracelin 預測第三季度營業收入爲93.4億美元,每股收益爲2.43美元。

Price Action: CRM stock is up 1.35% at $267.67 at the last check on Tuesday.

價格走勢:週二最後一次檢查時,賽富時股價上漲1.35%,報267.67美元。

Also Read:

還閱讀:

  • Salesforce Unveils New Agentforce Partner Network, Partners With Google Cloud
  • 賽富時推出新的Agentforce合作伙伴網絡,與谷歌雲合作

Photo via Shutterstock

圖片來自shutterstock。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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