20 S&P 500 Stocks That Move The Most When The Fed Starts Cutting Interest Rates
20 S&P 500 Stocks That Move The Most When The Fed Starts Cutting Interest Rates
Conversely, a 25-basis-point cut might disappoint investors who are betting on a more aggressive measure.Investors are on edge in the lead-up to the Wednesday Federal Open Market Committee interest rate decision that is expected to deliver the first cut to the federal funds rate in over four years.
市場參與者對即將到來的週三聯儲局公開市場委員會利率決策感到緊張，預計將迎來四年多來的首次減息。
The market is divided on the magnitude of the anticipated rate cut. Traders are assigning a 59% probability to a 50-basis-point cut, while a 41% chance is placed on a more modest 25-basis-point reduction. The size of the rate cut is crucial as it could trigger significant market reactions.
市場對預期減息的幅度存在分歧。交易員給50個點子減息的概率爲59％，而對25個點子較爲溫和的降幅投入了41％的機會。利率降幅的大小至關重要，因爲它可能引發重大的市場反應。
Should the Fed opt for a 50-basis-point cut, it may be perceived as an acknowledgment that interest rates are overly restrictive. This could lead to increased expectations for further rate cuts in the coming months, potentially fueling risk sentiment and driving stock prices higher.
如果聯儲局選擇50個點子的減息，可能會被視爲對利率過於緊縮的認可。這可能會導致人們對未來幾個月進一步減息的預期增加，潛在地推動風險情緒並推動股票價格上漲。
Conversely, a 25-basis-point cut might disappoint investors who are betting on a more aggressive measure.
相反，25個點子的減息可能會讓那些押注更激進措施的投資者感到失望。
Since the start of 2022, the S&P 500, tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY), has experienced an average move of plus or minus 1.3% during FOMC events, reflecting the market's high sensitivity to Fed policy decisions.
自2022年年初以來，由紐交所上市的SPDR標普500ETF信託基金（NYSE:SPY）跟蹤的標普500指數在FOMC事件期間經歷了平均正負1.3％的波動，反映了市場對聯儲局政策決策的高度敏感性。
Goldman Sachs equity analysts, including John Marshall, analyzed stock movements during the first rate cuts in the previous three Fed easing cycles (Sept. 18, 2007, July 31, 2019 and March 3, 2020).
高盛的股票分析師，包括約翰·馬歇爾，分析了過去三次聯儲局寬鬆週期（2007年9月18日，2019年7月31日和2020年3月3日）的第一次減息期間的股票走勢。
The data highlights the average moves of several key S&P 500 stocks with liquid options during these periods.
數據突出了這些時期流動性期權的若干重要標普500股票的平均波動。
| Rank | Name | Absolute Average Move |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caesars Entertainment Inc (NASDAQ:CZR) | 5.9% |
| 2 | Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) | 5.5% |
| 3 | Capital One Financial Corp (NYSE:COF) | 4.6% |
| 4 | Charles Schwab Corp (NYSE:SCHW) | 4.6% |
| 5 | Mastercard Inc (NYSE:MA) | 4.5% |
| 6 | Fortinet Inc (NASDAQ:FTNT) | 4.3% |
| 7 | Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR) | 4.2% |
| 8 | American Express Co (NYSE:AXP) | 3.8% |
| 9 | Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM) | 3.7% |
| 10 | Deere & Co (NYSE:DE) | 3.6% |
| 11 | BlackRock Inc (NYSE:BLK) | 3.6% |
| 12 | Texas Instruments Inc (NASDAQ:TXN) | 3.5% |
| 13 | 3M Co (NYSE:MMM) | 3.3% |
| 14 | Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) | 3.2% |
| 15 | JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) | 3.2% |
| 16 | Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) | 3.0% |
| 17 | Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) | 3.0% |
| 18 | Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX) | 2.9% |
| 19 | Visa Inc (NYSE:V) | 2.7% |
| 20 | Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE:VZ) | 2.3% |
| 排名 | 姓名 | 絕對平均移動 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 凱撒娛樂股份有限公司 (納斯達克:CZR) | 5.9% |
| 2 | 英偉達公司（NASDAQ:NVDA） | 5.5% |
| 3 | Capital One Financial Corp (紐交所:COF) | 4.6% |
| 4 | Charles Schwab Corp (紐交所:SCHW) | 4.6% |
| 5 | Mastercard Inc (紐交所:MA) | 4.5% |
| 6 | 飛塔信息公司（納斯達克：FTNT） | 4.3% |
| 7 | 萬豪國際（納斯達克:MAR） | 4.2% |
| 8 | 美國運通公司（紐交所：AXP） | 3.8% |
| 9 | 新蒙特公司（紐交所：NEM） | 3.7% |
| 10 | 迪爾股份（紐交所：DE） | 3.6% |
| 11 | 黑石集團股份有限公司（紐約證券交易所：BLK） | 3.6% |
| 12 | 德州儀器公司（納斯達克：TXN） | 3.5% |
| 13 | 300萬合作公司（紐約證券交易所：MMM） | 3.3% |
| 14 | 美國銀行股票(NYSE:BAC) | 3.2% |
| 15 | 摩根大通銀行（NYSE:JPM） | 3.2% |
| 16 | 甲骨文公司 (紐交所:ORCL) | 3.0% |
| 17 | 雅培（紐交所：ABT） | 3.0% |
| 18 | 星巴克公司（納斯達克：SBUX） | 2.9% |
| 19 | 維薩公司 (紐交所:V) | 2.7% |
| 20 | 威瑞森通信公司 (紐交所:VZ) | 2.3% |
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Federal Reserve illustration created using artificial intelligence via MidJourney.
採用人工智能通過MidJourney創建的聯邦儲備委員會圖示。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。