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We Think Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲美泰(納斯達克:MAT)可以保持其債務控制在頂端
Simply Wall St ·  09/13 02:33

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAT) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,美泰公司(納斯達克股票代碼:MAT)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Mattel's Net Debt?

美泰的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Mattel had US$2.33b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$722.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.61b.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,美泰的債務爲23.3億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,由於其現金儲備爲7.224億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲16.1億美元。

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NasdaqGS:MAT Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024
NASDAQGS: MAT 債券與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 9 月 12 日

How Healthy Is Mattel's Balance Sheet?

美泰的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Mattel had liabilities of US$1.01b due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.92b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$722.4m and US$839.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.37b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,美泰的負債爲10.1億美元,之後到期的負債爲29.2億美元。另一方面,它有7.224億美元的現金和價值8.394億美元的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出23.7億美元。

Mattel has a market capitalization of US$6.20b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

美泰的市值爲62.0億美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.7, Mattel uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.7 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. It is well worth noting that Mattel's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 47% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mattel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

美泰的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲1.7,巧妙但負責任地使用債務。而誘人的利息保障(息稅前利潤是利息支出的8.7倍)當然無助於消除這種印象。值得注意的是,美泰的息稅前利潤像雨後竹子一樣飆升,在過去十二個月中增長了47%。這將使其更容易管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都更能決定美泰未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Mattel produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究該息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去的三年中,美泰產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的66%,與我們的預期差不多。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要的時候減少債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Mattel's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Mattel takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Mattel that you should be aware of.

美泰的息稅前利潤增長率表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。這僅僅是好消息的開始,因爲它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流也非常令人鼓舞。考慮到所有這些數據,在我們看來,美泰對債務採取了相當明智的態度。儘管這帶來了一些風險,但也可以提高股東的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經爲美泰確定了一個你應該注意的警告標誌。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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