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We Think Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲亞德諾(納斯達克:ADI)可以控制好自己的債務。
Simply Wall St ·  09/12 19:02

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Analog Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,ADI公司(納斯達克股票代碼:ADI)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Analog Devices's Debt?

什麼是ADI公司的債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at August 2024 Analog Devices had debt of US$8.12b, up from US$7.03b in one year. However, it also had US$2.55b in cash, and so its net debt is US$5.57b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年8月,ADI公司的債務爲81.2億美元,高於一年的70.3億美元。但是,它也有25.5億美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲55.7億美元。

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NasdaqGS:ADI Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024
NASDAQGS: ADI 債務與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 9 月 12 日

A Look At Analog Devices' Liabilities

看看ADI公司的負債

According to the last reported balance sheet, Analog Devices had liabilities of US$3.23b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$10.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$2.55b as well as receivables valued at US$1.13b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$9.76b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,ADI公司的負債爲32.3億美元,12個月後到期的負債爲102億美元。除這些債務外,它有25.5億美元的現金以及價值11.3億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出97.6億美元。

Since publicly traded Analog Devices shares are worth a very impressive total of US$111.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

由於公開交易的ADI公司股票總價值爲1117億美元,非常可觀,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Analog Devices has net debt of just 1.3 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 8.9 times, which is more than adequate. In fact Analog Devices's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 48% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Analog Devices's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

ADI公司的淨負債僅爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.3倍,這表明它肯定不是一個魯莽的借款人。而且它的利息覆蓋率爲8.9倍,這已經足夠了。實際上,ADI公司的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了48%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定ADI公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Analog Devices actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究該息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,ADI公司產生的自由現金流實際上超過了eBIT。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Analog Devices is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Analog Devices is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Analog Devices you should know about.

根據我們所見,考慮到其息稅前利潤增長率,ADI公司認爲這並不容易,但我們考慮的其他因素使我們有理由感到樂觀。毫無疑問,它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力非常閃爍。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,在我們看來,ADI公司的債務管理得很好。但要謹慎一點:我們認爲債務水平足夠高,足以證明持續監測是合理的。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了你應該知道的3個ADI公司的警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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