share_log

Is Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS) A Risky Investment?

Is Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS) A Risky Investment?

孩之寶(納斯達克:HAS)是一個高風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  09/10 20:41

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,孩之寶公司(納斯達克股票代碼:HAS)確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是它必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Hasbro's Net Debt?

孩之寶的淨負債是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hasbro had US$3.96b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$1.11b, its net debt is less, at about US$2.85b.

您可以點擊下圖以獲取更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,孩之寶在2024年6月的債務爲39.6億美元;與前一年大致相同。但是,由於其現金儲備爲11.1億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲28.5億美元。

big
NasdaqGS:HAS Debt to Equity History September 10th 2024
NASDAQGS: HAS 債務與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 9 月 10 日

How Healthy Is Hasbro's Balance Sheet?

孩之寶的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hasbro had liabilities of US$1.83b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.86b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.11b as well as receivables valued at US$948.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.63b.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,孩之寶的負債爲18.3億美元,一年後到期的負債爲38.6億美元。除這些債務外,它有11.1億美元的現金以及價值9.483億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額36.3億美元。

Hasbro has a market capitalization of US$9.43b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

孩之寶的市值爲94.3億美元,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Hasbro's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.2 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Even more troubling is the fact that Hasbro actually let its EBIT decrease by 8.3% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hasbro can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

孩之寶的債務是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的3.6倍,其息稅前利潤支付利息支出的4.2倍。這表明,儘管債務水平很高,但我們不會稱其爲有問題。更令人不安的是,孩之寶實際上讓其息稅前利潤比去年下降了8.3%。如果它繼續這樣下去,還清債務就像在跑步機上跑步一樣,付出很大的努力,但進展不大。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定孩之寶能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hasbro produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究該息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,孩之寶產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的53%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Both Hasbro's EBIT growth rate and its net debt to EBITDA were discouraging. But its not so bad at converting EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Hasbro is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hasbro has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

孩之寶的息稅前利潤增長率及其與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的淨負債均令人沮喪。但是,在將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流方面還不錯。當我們考慮所討論的所有因素時,在我們看來,孩之寶在使用債務方面正在冒一些風險。儘管這筆債務可以提高回報,但我們認爲該公司現在有足夠的槓桿作用。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,孩之寶有兩個警告信號,我們認爲你應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論