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Dollarama Vs. Loblaw: Better Retail Stock to Prepare for 2025?

Dollarama Vs. Loblaw: Better Retail Stock to Prepare for 2025?

Dollarama與 Loblaw:準備迎接2025年的更好零售股票?
The Motley Fool ·  09/10 09:30

Some Canadian retailers have demonstrated remarkable resilience over the past few years of inflation and consumer-facing pressures. Indeed, it's become hard to stick to a budget with increased living costs. And though even the best-in-breed discount retailers have done their best to keep prices relatively low, they haven't been immune to the brutal headwind of inflation.

在過去幾年的通貨膨脹和麪對消費者壓力的情況下,一些加拿大零售商表現出了非凡的韌性。事實上,隨着生活成本的增加,堅守預算變得困難。即使是最優秀的折扣零售商也盡力保持相對低價,但他們也無法免受通貨膨脹的嚴重打擊。

Now that inflation is mostly under control (at least for now), investors shouldn't give up on the top value-conscious retailers. I believe they could continue thriving as the bargain-hunting mentality of cost-conscious consumers sticks around even as inflation hits that 2% target. Even if inflation falls below 1%, the past few years of inflation have left such an impact on our wallets that I don't think Canadians will be inclined to start splurging again.

現在通貨膨脹大多數情況下已經得到控制(至少暫時是這樣),投資者不應放棄頂級價值意識零售商。我相信,即使通貨膨脹達到2%的目標,注重成本的消費者尋求實惠的心態仍將持續,這些零售商可能會繼續蓬勃發展。即使通貨膨脹率跌至1%以下,過去幾年的通貨膨脹對我們的錢包產生了如此大的影響,以至於我認爲加拿大人不太可能再開始揮霍。

The battle of the best Canadian retail stocks

加拿大零售股中最佳股票之戰

As the Canadian economy attempts to return to growth mode, I'd argue that it's only prudent to keep seeking the best deals. Just because inflation normalizes doesn't mean it's a breakaway for the Canadian economy.

隨着加拿大經濟試圖回歸增長模式,我認爲繼續尋找最佳交易是明智之舉。通貨膨脹趨於正常化並不意味着加拿大經濟就此脫離困境。

Various pressures could keep economic growth stagnant for some time. And if that's the case, I expect top-tier retailers such as Dollarama (TSX:DOL) and Loblaw (TSX:L) to keep on thriving for years to come.

各種壓力可能會使經濟增長長期停滯。如果情況是這樣的話,我預計像Dollarama(TSX:DOL)和Loblaw(TSX:L)這樣的頂級零售商未來幾年將繼續蓬勃發展。

With considerable valuation premiums on their shares today, investors should be cautious about initiating a position that is too large all at once. Of course, a top-tier business deserves to go for a premium. But which business trades at the more reasonable multiple going into the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2024? Let's find out.

鑑於今天它們的股價具有相當高的估值溢價,投資者在一次性建立過大的頭寸時應謹慎。當然,頂尖企業理應享有溢價。但哪家企業在進入2024年第四季度時的多重合理性更高?讓我們來看看。

Dollarama

Dollarama

Dollarama is the discount retail play to reach for if you ever expect tough times to be ahead. If we move from inflation to a period of economic sluggishness, DOL stock could continue to perform. Apart from offering Canadians some of the best deals on various necessities, the firm has been more than willing to expand its store footprint.

如果你預期未來將面臨困難時,Dollarama是折扣零售的首選。如果我們從通貨膨脹轉向經濟蕭條,DOL股票可能會繼續表現不俗。除了爲加拿大人提供各種必需品的最優惠價格外,該公司還樂意擴大其店鋪規模。

Clearly, there's been demand for more Dollaramas across the country. Whenever you have high foot traffic and a growing number of stores, I think there's a runway for sustained double-digit growth.

顯然,全國範圍內對多樂迪的需求越來越大。當您擁有高人流量和不斷增長的商店數量時,我認爲將會有持續雙位數增長的空間。

At 36.1 times trailing price to earnings (P/E), shares are a tad pricey, so I would not chase going into earnings. Should the stock dive post-earnings, though, I'd look to be a buyer of such a dip. Dollarama's a great company, it's just run too far (up 50% in a year!), too fast.

以36.1倍的市盈率(P/E)計算,股票有點貴,所以在盈利報告前不要追漲。然而,如果股價在發佈盈利報告後下跌,我會考慮買入。多樂迪是一家很棒的公司,只是漲得太快(一年內漲了50%).

Loblaw

Loblaw

Loblaw shares have also been thriving lately, now up 47% in the past year, thanks in part to a few remarkable earnings results. With a new No Name line of grocery stores being tested in the Ontario market, it will be interesting to see how consumers react as the firm looks to double down on saving consumers money.

近年來,洛布淡股價一直表現不錯,過去一年上漲了47%,這在某種程度上得益於一些顯著的盈利成果。在安大略市場上測試了新的無名雜貨商店之後,將會很有趣地看到消費者對此的反應,因爲洛布淡希望進一步爲消費者省錢。

Indeed, Loblaw's reputation may be mixed with particular consumers, given how pricy some of its goods have gotten in recent years. Either way, the firm looks focused on value, and as Canadians continue to take action to save money, Loblaw's No Name brand and new stores will likely fare incredibly well. Given such a catalyst, I view 26.6 times trailing P/E as too cheap, making L stock a better buy than DOL, at least in my opinion.

的確,洛布淡的聲譽在某些消費者心中可能是兩極分化的,因爲近年來一些商品的價格上漲。無論如何,該公司似乎專注於價值,隨着加拿大人繼續採取措施節省開支,洛布淡的無名品牌和新商店很可能表現得非常好。鑑於這樣的催化劑,我認爲以26.6倍的市盈率(P/E)來衡量這隻股票過於便宜,至少在我看來,這使得洛布淡的股票比多樂迪的股票更值得購買。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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