Earnings Growth of 0.5% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for American Assets Trust (NYSE:AAT) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 0.5% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for American Assets Trust (NYSE:AAT) Shareholders
While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the American Assets Trust, Inc. (NYSE:AAT) share price up 25% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 44% in that half decade.
儘管這對某些股東來說可能還不夠,但我們認爲看到美國資產信託公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AAT)的股價在一個季度內上漲25%是件好事。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去五年的回報並不令人滿意。購買指數基金的表現要好得多,因爲該股在那五年中下跌了44%。
After losing 4.5% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在上週下跌了4.5%之後,值得調查該公司的基本面,看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話說:「船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...」考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, American Assets Trust actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 2.5% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在股價下滑的不幸五年中,美國資產信託基金的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長2.5%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設五年前,市場對更高的增長抱有預期。話雖如此,通過查看其他指標,我們可能會更好地了解該股的情況。
We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
我們注意到股息一直保持健康,因此這並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前尚不清楚爲什麼股價下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for American Assets Trust in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪水低於類似規模公司的中位數。始終值得關注首席執行官的薪酬,但更重要的問題是公司多年來是否會增加收益。您可以在這張未來利潤估計的交互式圖表中看到分析師對美國資產信託的預測。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of American Assets Trust, it has a TSR of -31% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。就美國資產信託而言,其在過去5年的股東總回報率爲-31%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that American Assets Trust shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 35% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 6% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand American Assets Trust better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that American Assets Trust is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...
很高興看到美國資產信託的股東在過去一年中獲得了35%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。值得注意的是,與最近的股價表現相比,五年期年化股東總回報率每年虧損6%,這非常不利。這使我們有點警惕,但該企業可能已經扭轉了命運。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解美國資產信託,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,美國資產信託基金在我們的投資分析中顯示了3個警告信號,其中2個對我們來說不太合適...
We will like American Assets Trust better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡美國資產信託基金。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份被低估的股票(主要是小盤股)的免費清單,這些股票最近有大量的內幕買盤。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。