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日経平均株価は25日線辺りで強弱感が対立

The Nikkei average stock price shows conflicting strength and weakness around the 25-day moving average.

Fisco Japan ·  07:44

In the Japanese stock market on the 6th, although there is awareness of buyback movements, it seems that aggressive trading will be refrained. In the US market on the 5th, the NY Dow depreciated by 219 dollars and the NASDAQ was 43 points higher. ADP employment statistics for August fell short of expectations, and sales, which were concerned about a slowdown in the labor market, took precedence. After that, since the ISM non-manufacturing business climate index for August improved, it became reluctant to decline. The Chicago Nikkei 225 futures settlement price is 37010 yen, which is 400 yen higher than Osaka. The yen exchange rate is hovering in the 140 yen range of 143 yen per dollar.

The Nikkei Stock Average is likely to start slightly ahead of buying because it looks like it's moving towards Chicago futures. The NASDAQ index has rebounded for the first time in 3 days, and it seems that there is a buyback movement in one corner of high-tech stocks due to the high index impact values that continue to be weak at the moment. However, as US employment statistics are being announced for August, it is difficult to think about the trend of aggressive price increases tracking, and it seems that it will remain a rebalance movement. Also, in the US, interest rates are expected to be cut by 0.5% by the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) due to a slowdown in the labor market. Since 1 dollar is moving in the 143 yen range in the exchange market, it seems that the appreciation of the yen will become a burden.

There was also a scene where Nikkei 225 futures were bought for up to 37120 yen at one time during the night session. However, the 25th line, which is located at the same level, is easily perceived as a psychological resistance line, and even if it exceeds this, it seems that the upper price can be suppressed to the 200-day line level. Therefore, even in the Nikkei Stock Average, it is easy for strengths and weaknesses to clash around the 25th line. Therefore, if high-tech stocks seem to stop falling due to prices that have continued to be adjusted in terms of shopping, it will be easier to buy with the aim of rebounding in the short term.

Also, although sales took precedence in yesterday's Growth 250 Index, there was a slight rebound due to subsequent turn-offs. Although the 200-day line of the same index is perceived as a resistance line, there were times when there was a divergence with the 200-day line at the moment, so it would be easier to buy with the aim of rebounding. Since it is difficult to be diverted to index trading, it is likely that there will be an individual-based fund shift to stocks with high liquidity. Also, the index had a high price from late February to early March, and adjustments continued. There are also many March high value stocks in material stocks, and it seems that movements aimed at the end of the 6-month credit period will also become active individually.

The translation is provided by third-party software.


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