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Timken's (NYSE:TKR) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 100% Return Over the Last Five Years

Timken's (NYSE:TKR) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 100% Return Over the Last Five Years

在過去五年裏,Timken(紐交所:TKR)的投資者將會對他們強勁的100%回報感到滿意。
Simply Wall St ·  09/05 02:01

These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, the The Timken Company (NYSE:TKR) share price is up 83% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. It's also good to see that the stock is up 6.2% in a year.

如今很容易購買一個指數基金,你的回報應該(大致)與市場相匹配。但事實是,如果你以正確的價格購買優質企業,你可以取得可觀的收益。例如,鐵姆肯公司(紐交所:TKR)的股票價格在過去五年中上漲了83%,略高於市場回報。看到股票在一年內上漲了6.2%也是一個好跡象。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的話說,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但是持平地球學會會蓬勃發展。在市場上,價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差距……」評估公司周圍情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Over half a decade, Timken managed to grow its earnings per share at 3.6% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 13% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在過去的五年裏,鐵姆肯公司成功使其每股收益年均增長3.6%。這一每股收益的增長速度低於股價13%的年均增長率。這表明如今市場參與者對該公司持有更高的評價。考慮到過去五年的盈利增長記錄,這並不令人感到意外。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

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NYSE:TKR Earnings Per Share Growth September 4th 2024
紐交所:TKR每股收益增長,2024年9月4日

This free interactive report on Timken's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想進一步調查股票,鐵姆肯(Timken)的收益、營業收入和現金流的這份免費互動報告是個好的開始。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Timken, it has a TSR of 100% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報率(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅派息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價的資本籌集或分拆所帶來的利益。可以說,TSR能更全面地反映股票所生成的回報。以鐵姆肯爲例,它在過去5年的TSR爲100%,超過了我們此前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,分紅支付很大程度上解釋了這種背離!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Timken shareholders are up 8.0% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 15% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Timken better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Timken that you should be aware of.

鐵姆肯的股東在全年上漲了8.0%(甚至包括分紅派息)。但這一回報不如市場。也許公司有一個更好的長期業績記錄,爲股東提供了5年來年均TSR 15%的回報。也許股價只是在業務執行增長策略時休整。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣。但要更好地理解鐵姆肯,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經發現了2個鐵姆肯的預警信號,您應該注意。

But note: Timken may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:鐵姆肯可能不是最佳的股票買入選擇。因此,您可以查看這個免費的有着過去盈利增長(以及未來增長預期)的有趣公司列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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