There wouldn't be many who think Oscar Health, Inc.'s (NYSE:OSCR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Insurance industry in the United States is similar at about 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Oscar Health's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Oscar Health certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Oscar Health.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Oscar Health would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 45% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 3.7% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Oscar Health's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Oscar Health's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Oscar Health, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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