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Results: Victoria's Secret & Co. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Results: Victoria's Secret & Co. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

結果:維多利亞的祕密公司超出了預期,共識已更新其估計
Simply Wall St ·  09/01 22:07

The quarterly results for Victoria's Secret & Co. (NYSE:VSCO) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. The result was positive overall - although revenues of US$1.4b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Victoria's Secret surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$0.40 per share, modestly greater than expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

維多利亞的祕密(NYSE:VSCO)公司的季度業績報告於上週發佈,現在是回顧其表現的好時機。總體而言,結果是積極的 - 儘管14億美元的營業收入與分析師預測相符,但維多利亞的祕密以每股0.40美元的法定盈利驚喜交付,略高於預期。分析師通常在每份業績發佈時更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否存在任何新的值得注意的問題。考慮到這一點,我們彙總了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師對明年的期望。

1725199673151
NYSE:VSCO Earnings and Revenue Growth September 1st 2024
紐交所:VSCO收益與營收增長2024年9月1日

Taking into account the latest results, Victoria's Secret's twelve analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$6.07b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$1.77, roughly flat on the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$6.01b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.70 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Victoria's Secret's earnings potential following these results.

考慮到最新的業績,維多利亞的祕密的十二位分析師目前預計2025年的營業收入爲60.7億美元,與過去12個月大致持平。法定每股收益預計爲1.77美元,與過去12個月基本持平。在這份報告出爐之前,分析師們已經預測2025年的營業收入爲60.1億美元,每股盈利(每股收益EPS)爲1.70美元。因此,綜合來看,維多利亞的祕密的盈利潛力在這些業績數據後似乎變得更加樂觀。

The analysts have been lifting their price targets on the back of the earnings upgrade, with the consensus price target rising 10% to US$23.73. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Victoria's Secret at US$30.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$13.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

分析師們在業績提升後調高了價格目標,共識價值目標上漲了10%,至23.73美元。然而,專注於單一的價格目標可能不明智,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師價格目標的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估值範圍,以確定對公司估值是否存在不同意見。目前,最看好的分析師認爲維多利亞的祕密每股價值30.00美元,而最看淡的則爲13.00美元。請注意分析師價格目標存在較大差距,這對我們來說意味着基礎業務可能存在相當廣泛的可能性。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would also point out that the forecast 1.8% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025 is better than the historical trend, which saw revenues shrink 2.3% annually over the past five years By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 4.9% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while it does have declining revenues, the analysts also expect Victoria's Secret to suffer worse than the wider industry.

當然,另一種查看這些預測的方式是將它們與行業本身進行對比。我們還要指出,到2025年底,1.8%的年化營業收入下降預測比歷史趨勢要好,過去五年,每年營業收入以2.3%的速度收縮。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,同行業其他公司(有分析師覆蓋)的預測收入每年增長4.9%。所以很明顯,雖然維多利亞的祕密的營業收入在下降,但分析師們也預計它將比整個行業表現更糟糕。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Victoria's Secret's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Victoria's Secret's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

對我們來說最重要的是共識每股收益的提升,這表明市場對維多利亞的祕密明年的盈利潛力有明顯改善的看法。幸運的是,分析師們也確認了他們的營業收入預測,表明它與預期保持一致。雖然我們的數據確實顯示維多利亞的祕密的營業收入預計表現將不如整個行業。我們注意到價格目標的上調,這意味着分析師認爲該企業的內在價值有可能隨着時間改善。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Victoria's Secret analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司盈利的長期走勢比明年更重要。我們有多位維多利亞的祕密分析師的估計值,覆蓋到2027年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Victoria's Secret .

此外,你還應該了解我們在維多利亞的祕密中發現的1個警告信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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