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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Canadian Solar Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CSIQ) 27% Price Drop

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 29 20:22

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:CSIQ) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 56% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Canadian Solar may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.1x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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NasdaqGS:CSIQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 29th 2024

What Does Canadian Solar's Recent Performance Look Like?

Canadian Solar hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Canadian Solar.

How Is Canadian Solar's Revenue Growth Trending?

Canadian Solar's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 46% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per annum as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 28% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Canadian Solar's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Canadian Solar's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Canadian Solar have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Canadian Solar's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Canadian Solar (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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