Dayforce Inc. (NYSE:DAY) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 12% in the last month. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. Truth be told the share price declined 48% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.

The recent uptick of 7.0% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

We don't think that Dayforce's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last three years, Dayforce saw its revenue grow by 19% per year, compound. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Shareholders have endured a share price decline of 14% per year. This implies the market had higher expectations of Dayforce. However, that's in the past now, and it's the future is more important - and the future looks brighter (based on revenue, anyway).

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

Dayforce is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for Dayforce in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Dayforce had a tough year, with a total loss of 19%, against a market gain of about 25%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 0.9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Dayforce is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

We will like Dayforce better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.