Market Eyes $305B Shift In Nvidia's Market Cap As Options Pricing Forecasts 9.8% Post-Earnings Move: 'A Lot Of That Insurance Is FOMO'
Market Eyes $305B Shift In Nvidia's Market Cap As Options Pricing Forecasts 9.8% Post-Earnings Move: 'A Lot Of That Insurance Is FOMO'
Market analysis predicts a record-breaking $300 billion swing in shares of Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) following its forthcoming earnings report, making it the most significant anticipated earnings move in history.
市場分析預測，英偉達股份有限公司（納斯達克: NVDA）即將發佈季度業績後，股價將出現創紀錄的3000億美元波動，這將成爲歷史上最重大的預期收益波動。
What Happened: Options pricing suggests traders are expecting a 9.8% move in Nvidia's shares on Thursday, the day after the earnings report. This prediction, derived from ORATS data, exceeds any anticipated move before any Nvidia report over the past three years and surpasses the stock's average post-earnings move of 8.1% during the same period, Reuters reported on Wednesday.
事件經過：期權定價表明，交易員預計英偉達股票在季度業績後的週四將出現9.8%的波動。據路透社週三報道，這一預測來自ORATS數據，超過了過去三年內任何英偉達公司業績前的預期波動，並超過了同期股票的平均發帖波動率8.1%。
Considering Nvidia's market capitalization of roughly $3.11 trillion, a 9.8% swing would amount to nearly $305 billion. This move would outshine the market capitalization of 95% of S&P 500 companies, including Netflix and Merck, according to LSEG data.
鑑於英偉達約3.11萬億美元的市值，9.8%的波動將達到近3050億美元。這一波動將超過標普500指數中95%的公司的市值，包括奈飛和默沙東，據倫交所集團數據。
Options pricing indicates that traders are more concerned about missing a significant upside move from Nvidia than experiencing a substantial drop. Traders assign a 7% chance the stock will rise more than 20% by Friday, while only a 4% probability to a more than 20% sell-off, according to a Susquehanna Financial analysis of options data.
期權定價表明，交易員對於錯過英偉達的重大上漲更爲擔憂。根據Susquehanna Financial對期權數據的分析，交易員給股票上漲20%以上的概率爲7%，而對於20%以上的拋售，只有4%的概率。
Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, stated, "Ahead of earnings, people typically want to buy hedges, they want to buy insurance, but in Nvidia's case, a lot of that insurance is FOMO insurance. They don't want to miss a rally."
Interactive Brokers首席策略師Steve Sosnick表示：「在發佈業績前，人們通常希望買入對沖，他們希望購買保險，但在英偉達的情況下，很多保險都是FOMO保險。他們不想錯過漲勢。」
Why It Matters: Nvidia, one of the world's most valuable companies, could serve as a leading market indicator for the technology and semiconductor sectors when it reports its second-quarter financial results. Analysts expect Nvidia to report second-quarter revenue of $28.68 billion, a significant increase from last year's second-quarter revenue of $13.5 billion.
重要性：作爲世界上最有價值的公司之一，英偉達在發佈其第二季度業績時，可能成爲技術和半導體行業的主要市場指標。分析師預計，英偉達將報告第二季度營業收入286.8億美元，較去年同期的135億美元顯著增加。
Furthermore, a Goldman Sachs note suggested that Nvidia's stock might experience a $298 billion market value fluctuation following its second-quarter earnings report. This potential swing is based on the company's $3.17 trillion market capitalization.
此外，高盛的一份報告指出，在英偉達第二季度發佈業績後，該公司的股價可能會出現2980億美元的市值波動。這一潛在波動基於該公司3.17萬億美元的市值。
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Photo via Wikimedia Commons
照片通過Wikimedia Commons
This story was generated using Benzinga Neuro and edited by Pooja Rajkumari
本報道使用Benzinga Neuro生成，並由Pooja Rajkumari編輯
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。