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Is Maximus (NYSE:MMS) A Risky Investment?

Is Maximus (NYSE:MMS) A Risky Investment?

紐交所馬克西姆斯服務(NYSE:MMS)是一個高風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  08/26 18:41

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Maximus, Inc. (NYSE:MMS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說,「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」 當您了解一個公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲許多企業崩潰時都涉及到債務。我們注意到紐交所馬克西姆斯服務(NYSE:MMS)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東們應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自己的現金流,債務才會成爲實際問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人就會控制企業。儘管這不是太常見的情況,但我們經常看到,因爲債權人強迫它們以破產價格籌集資本,許多負債累累的公司會永久稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,從而爲自己帶來利益。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先關注現金和債務。

What Is Maximus's Net Debt?

馬克西姆斯服務的淨債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Maximus had debt of US$1.14b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$1.31b over a year. However, it also had US$102.8m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.04b.

下面的圖片(點擊可放大查看)顯示,馬克西姆斯服務在2024年6月底的債務爲11.4億美元,比去年的13.1億美元有所減少。然而,它也擁有10280萬美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲10.4億美元。

1724668900128
NYSE:MMS Debt to Equity History August 26th 2024
紐交所馬克西姆斯服務的債務與股本歷史數據截至2024年8月26日

How Healthy Is Maximus' Balance Sheet?

馬克西姆斯的資產負債表狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Maximus had liabilities of US$680.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.50b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$102.8m and US$859.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.22b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細觀察最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到馬克西姆斯在12個月內有6,800萬美元的短期負債,而超過12個月的負債總額爲15億美元。另一方面,它有1,028萬美元的現金和8,599萬美元的短期應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多122億美元。

Maximus has a market capitalization of US$5.52b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

馬克西姆斯的市值爲552億美元,因此在需要時很可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。然而,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。

Maximus's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. It is well worth noting that Maximus's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 59% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Maximus's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

馬克西姆斯的淨債務大約是其EBITDA的1.8倍,而其EBIT只能覆蓋去年利息支出的5.7倍。儘管這些數字並不讓我們擔憂,但值得注意的是,公司的債務成本確實產生了實質影響。值得注意的是,馬克西姆斯的EBIT在過去十二個月增長了59%,這將使其更容易管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。但是未來的盈利,尤其是將決定馬克西姆斯能否保持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果您注重未來,可以查看這份免費報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Maximus recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 92% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,儘管稅務部門可能青睞會計利潤,但債權人只接受真金白銀的現金。因此,我們始終要查看EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的金額。在過去三年中,馬克西姆斯記錄的自由現金流價值高達其EBIT的百分之92,這比我們通常預期的要強。這使得它在償還債務方面處於非常有利的位置。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Maximus's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Zooming out, Maximus seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Maximus that you should be aware of.

馬克西姆斯服務令人欣喜的是,其將EBIT轉爲自由現金流的能力令其在債務方面佔據了上風。而好消息的開始只是這一點,因爲其EBIT增長率也非常令人鼓舞。總體來看,馬克西姆斯服務似乎在債務使用方面相當合理; 這也得到了我們的認可。雖然債務確實帶來風險,但在明智使用時也可以帶來更高的股東回報率。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到的債務信息最多。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們已經發現了1個關於馬克西姆斯服務的警告信號,您應該對此有所了解。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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