Viavi Solutions Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VIAV) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Communications industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Viavi Solutions Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Viavi Solutions' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Viavi Solutions.
How Is Viavi Solutions' Revenue Growth Trending?
Viavi Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 17% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.4% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.3% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Viavi Solutions' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It comes as a surprise to see Viavi Solutions trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Viavi Solutions with six simple checks.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Viavi Solutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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