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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s (NYSE:RYAM) Shares Leap 25% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 24 20:12

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (NYSE:RYAM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 126% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may still consider Rayonier Advanced Materials as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NYSE:RYAM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 24th 2024

How Rayonier Advanced Materials Has Been Performing

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Rayonier Advanced Materials has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Rayonier Advanced Materials.

How Is Rayonier Advanced Materials' Revenue Growth Trending?

Rayonier Advanced Materials' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 18% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.7% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 3.8% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Rayonier Advanced Materials' P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Rayonier Advanced Materials' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Rayonier Advanced Materials remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Rayonier Advanced Materials has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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