Spot Bitcoin ETFs Will Soon Own More BTC Than Satoshi, Analysts Predict, But Another Fund Is The 'Most Volatile ETF Ever' In The US
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Will Soon Own More BTC Than Satoshi, Analysts Predict, But Another Fund Is The 'Most Volatile ETF Ever' In The US
In an interview with crypto influencer Scott Melker, Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas highlighted both the challenges and successes of the new spot cryptocurrency ETFs.
在與加密貨幣影響者Scott Melker的訪談中,彭博ETF分析師詹姆斯·賽夫特和埃裏克·巴爾庫納斯強調了新的現貨加密貨幣ETF所面臨的挑戰和成功。
What Happened: On the latest episode of Melker's podcast, Balchunas emphasized the resilience of Bitcoin ETF investors, noting, "99.5% of the assets stuck, even though there was a weekend where they woke up to a 15% downturn."
事件經過:在Melker的播客最新一期節目中,巴爾庫納斯強調了比特幣ETF投資者的韌性,並指出:「99.5%的資產還在持有,儘管有一個週末他們醒來時經歷了15%的下跌。」
Regarding Bitcoin ETFs, Seyffart reported impressive inflows: "They have like 17 and a half to 18 billion in inflows since they launched." He noted the ETFs now hold around 920,000 bitcoin, approaching a significant milestone. "Within a year, the US ETFs will have more Bitcoin than Satoshi," Balchunas added, highlighting the rapid institutional adoption.
關於比特幣ETF,賽夫特報告了令人印象深刻的資金流入:「自推出以來,它們已經吸納了大約175到180億美元的資金流入。」他指出,ETF現在持有約92萬比特幣,接近一個重要的里程碑。「在一年內,美國ETF將擁有比特幣數量比中本聰更多,」巴爾庫納斯補充道,強調了快速的機構採用。
The Ethereum ETFs, however, have faced challenges. Seyffart admitted, "They have negative flows since launch." Despite this, Balchunas provided context: "If you took the Bitcoin ETFs off the table and you looked at the launches this year, Ether would be number one by far at a billion dollars." He noted that the BlackRock Ethereum ETF (NASDAQ:ETHA) ranks 136 overall based on flows this year for all ETFs, placing it in the top 3%.
然而,以太幣ETF面臨挑戰。賽夫特承認:「自推出以來,它們資金流出爲負值。」儘管如此,巴爾庫納斯提供了背景:「如果你把比特幣ETF排除在外,看看今年的推出,以太幣將成爲資金流入最多的數字貨幣。」他指出,根據所有ETF今年的資金流入情況,BlackRock以太幣ETF(納斯達克:ETHA)在136名,並排在前3%。
The analysts addressed the withdrawal of Solana ETF applications, viewing it as an early step in a longer process. Balchunas compared it to Bitcoin's ETF journey, stating, "I would look at this as like the Winklevoss filing in 2013. These are the sort of like first shots you get." He suggested Solana ETFs might have better prospects under a different political administration or with the development of futures markets.
分析師們討論了Solana ETF申請的撤回,並將其看作是更長進程中的早期步驟。巴爾庫納斯將其與比特幣ETF的歷程進行了比較,稱:「我會把這看作是2013年Winklevoss提交的文件。這些都是你最先得到的機會。」他提出Solana ETF可能在不同的政治管理下或期貨市場的發展中有更好的前景。
Also Read: Solana ETF Approval In 2024 Has Only A 6% Chance: 'A Snowball's Chance In Hell,' ETF Analyst Says
紐交所分析師表示,2024年Solana ETF的批准只有6%的機會:「滾雪球進地獄的機會」
Why It Matters: The analysts suggested patience with Ethereum ETFs, expecting a slower adoption curve compared to Bitcoin ETFs. Balchunas explained, "I always equate the Ether to silver to gold. They'll have their own little market." He added, "It's a long game. They're off to a decent start."
爲什麼重要:分析師建議對以太幣ETF保持耐心,預計其採用速度比比特幣ETF更慢。巴爾庫納斯解釋道:「我總是把以太幣看作是白銀對黃金。它們將擁有自己的小市場。」他補充說:「這是一個長期的遊戲。他們已經有了一個不錯的開端。」
The conversation also touched on the broader ETF market, highlighting record inflows across various sectors. Balchunas noted, "The breadth of flows beyond equities is a really promising sign for the industry."
對話還提到了更大範圍的etf市場,突出各個行業板塊的創紀錄流入。Balchunas指出:「除了股票,流入的廣度對行業來說是一個非常有希望的跡象。」
A particularly interesting development was the launch of highly volatile products like leveraged MicroStrategy ETFs (NASDAQ:MSTX). Seyffart described one such product as "the most volatile ETF ever introduced in the United States," with Balchunas adding, "I believe it's the most immediately popular leveraged ETF ever to launch."
尤其值得關注的是,像槓桿microstrategy etf (納斯達克:mstx) 這樣的高度波動的產品的推出。Seyffart將其中一款產品描述爲「美國有史以來最波動的etf」,Balchunas補充道:「我相信這是有史以來推出的最受歡迎的槓桿etf。」
In conclusion, while acknowledging the current challenges, the analysts emphasized the need for patience and a broader perspective. Balchunas summarized, "Don't worry. They had a lot of things going against them. They're doing okay despite it."
總之,雖然承認當前的挑戰,分析師強調了耐心和更廣泛的視角的重要性。Balchunas總結道:「不要擔心。他們面臨了很多困難,但儘管如此,他們做得很好。」
What's Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga's upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
接下來:比特幣作爲機構資產類別的影響力預計將在Benzinga即將到來的數字資產未來活動中得到徹底探討。日期是11月19日。
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譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。