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Here's Why H World Group (NASDAQ:HTHT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why H World Group (NASDAQ:HTHT) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

華住(納斯達克:HTHT)爲何能夠負責地管理債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  08/22 21:08

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李錄(受到查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」當我們考慮一個公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務負擔過重可能導致滅亡。我們注意到H World Group Limited(納斯達克代碼:HTHT)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果一家企業無法償還債權人,那麼它存在於債權人的擺佈之下。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債公司因爲債權人迫使其以低價募集資本而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以是企業的重要工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先要考慮現金和債務水平的結合。

How Much Debt Does H World Group Carry?

H World Group承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that H World Group had debt of CN¥5.54b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥5.83b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥8.91b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.38b net cash position.

下面的圖片(點擊可放大)顯示,H World Group於2024年6月底的債務爲554億元人民幣,較去年的583億元人民幣減少。但另一方面,它也擁有891億元人民幣的現金,從而形成了淨現金338億元人民幣的位置。

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NasdaqGS:HTHT Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2024
納斯達克代碼:HTHT 債務與股本歷史

A Look At H World Group's Liabilities

華住集團負債情況一覽

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that H World Group had liabilities of CN¥11.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥37.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.91b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.26b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥39.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

深入了解最新資產負債表數據,我們發現華住集團12個月內到期的負債爲119億元人民幣,超過12個月到期的負債爲379億元人民幣。抵消這些債務的是,它有89.1億元人民幣的現金以及12.6億元人民幣的應收款項在12個月內到期。因此,它的總負債比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多396億元人民幣。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥61.9b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, H World Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

相對於其619億元人民幣的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿山。這意味着如果公司需要迅速加強資產負債表,股東們將受到嚴重稀釋。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但華住集團的現金比債務還要多,因此我們相當有信心它能安全地管理債務。

Better yet, H World Group grew its EBIT by 114% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if H World Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更好的是,華住集團去年EBIt增長了114%,這是一項令人印象深刻的改進。這一提升將使其更容易償還未來的債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定華住集團是否能夠長期加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會對分析師利潤預測的免費報告感興趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. H World Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, H World Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

但我們最後要考慮的也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤支付債務;它需要現金。華住集團的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但關注業務如何將其息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力同樣很有趣,因爲這將影響到它對債務的需求以及管理能力。在過去兩年裏,華住集團實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIt還多。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像Daft Punk演唱會上的人群一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總之

While H World Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥3.38b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥5.7b, being 135% of its EBIT. So we don't think H World Group's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for H World Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然華住擁有的負債超過了流動資產,但其淨現金爲338億人民幣。另外,其自由現金流達到了570億人民幣,相當於其EBIT的135%。因此,我們認爲華住利用債務的風險並不大。在分析債務時,資產負債表是一個明顯需要關注的領域。但最終,每個公司都可能存在不在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,在投資華住之前,我們發現了1個值得注意的警示信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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