On August 21, 2024, Jefferies released a research report, maintaining a "BUY" rating with a price target of $88.4 for Futu Holdings. In the research report, Jefferies pointed out:
1) Futu reported 2Q results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings ahead of consensus and Jefferies' estimates, primarily driven by high growth in commission and fee income as well as interest income.
2) In 2Q, 155K new paying clients were added, totaling 332K for 1H, exceeding 80% of the previous full-year target of 400K. The full-year guidance is now raised to 550K new paying clients.
3) Cryptocurrency trading was launched in HK and SG in Aug., new product launches in Japan are progressing well, and the company is investing in Airstar Bank for synergies.
4) The number of new paying clients in Japan and Malaysia grew rapidly.
5) Jefferies believes strong demand from global high net-worth individuals for geographically diverse investment portfolios will drive Futu's financial and wealth management growth. Futu leads peers in technology, operating efficiency, and financial licenses.
Catalysts
Improvement of commission fee rates and interest rates;
Stronger-than-expected investor demand;
Stronger-than-expected user growth and traffic conversion.
Risks to Downside
Compliance risk and regulatory risk;
Macro-headwinds impacting securities market trading volume in the US, HK and SG;
Loss of market share due to competition;
Lower-than-expected commission fee rate and interest rate.
2024年8月21日,傑富瑞发佈研報,對富途控股維持「買入」評級和88.4美元的目標價,傑富瑞在研報中指出:
1)Q2收入及淨利潤均超出市場和傑富瑞的預期,主要由佣金及手續費收入和利息收入的高增長帶動。
2)2024上半年新增付費客戶達到33.2萬,超出此前全年指引40萬的80%,公司再次上調全年新增付費客戶指引至55萬。
3)8月份香港和新加坡地區新推出加密貨幣交易功能,日本新產品发佈進展順利,以及投資Airstar銀行以實現協同效應。
4)日本和馬來西亞新增付費客戶增長迅猛。
5)傑富瑞相信全球高淨值人士對於地域多元化投資組合的強勁需求將持續驅動富途的經濟業務和财富管理業務高速發展;富途在技術基礎,運營成本和效率,以及金融許可等方面領先於同行。
上行催化:
佣金費率和融資利率的提升;
強於預期的投資需求;
強於預期的用戶增長和流量轉化
下行風險:
合規風險和監管風險;
影響證券市場成交量的宏觀不利因素;
因同業競爭加劇喪失市場份額;
低於預期的佣金費率和融資利率