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Delayed Rate Cuts Stall Significant Recovery in the Private Residential Market

Delayed Rate Cuts Stall Significant Recovery in the Private Residential Market

延遲的減息阻礙了私人住宅市場的顯著復甦
Singapore Business Review ·  08/19 05:00

Experts project a full-year sales volume of 5,000 to 6,200 units.

專家預計全年銷量爲5,000至6,200台。

A significant recovery in the private residential market is unlikely in 2024, with more substantial shifts expected in 2025.

2024年私人住宅市場的顯著復甦不太可能,更大的轉變預計將在2025年出現。

According to CBRE, the delay in interest rate cuts, along with sustained economic uncertainty, is hindering recovery in the market. This delay is also expected to slow the growth of private residential prices.

根據CBRE的說法,利率削減的延遲以及持續的經濟不確定性正在阻礙市場的復甦。這種延遲也預計會減緩私人住宅價格的增長。

However, once interest rates are adjusted, Knight Frank said it could provide a "psychological stimulus," potentially swaying undecided homebuyers towards making a purchase.

然而,一旦利率調整,Knight Frank表示可能會提供一種"心理刺激",可能會影響猶豫不決的購房者做出購買決策。

Elevated interest rates, economic uncertainty, high private home prices, and cooling measures, have been holding back homebuyers, said Knight Frank.

高利率、經濟不確定性、高私人住宅價格和樓市調控政策一直在阻礙購房者的購房。這是Knight Frank的說法。

JLL shared a similar sentiment: "Amidst elevated interest rates and high private home prices, homebuyers have remained selective and cautious, which has moderated the pace of price increases."

JLL也有類似的看法: "在高利率和高私人住宅價格的背景下,購房者一直持選擇性和謹慎的態度,這已經減緩了價格上漲的速度。"

CBRE also observed that buyers have been resistant to high price points, particularly at recent new launches.

CBRE還發現,購房者一直對高價位持抵制態度,特別是在最近的新樓盤開售時。

"As a result, the lower take-up rates seen across 2024 project launches seem to encourage developers to delay their launches in anticipation of better and more stable market conditions," CBRE said.

"因此,CBRE說,2024年項目的推出取向較低,似乎在預期更好、更穩定的市場情況下推出項目。"

PropNex added that some buyers may be motivated to act if they find properties with the right pricing, good location, efficient unit layout, a compelling urban transformation story, and a strong developer track record.

PropNex補充說,如果購房者找到了價格合適、地理位置好、單位佈局高效、城市轉型故事引人入勝、開發商具有強勁記錄的物業,則可能會有所行動。

"We expect realistic pricing to drive primary market sales, with quantum play remaining a key pricing strategy for developers to achieve a good take-up rate at project launches," PropNex added.

"我們預計合理的定價將推動主力市場銷售,量子策略仍將是開發商在項目推出時實現良好成交率的關鍵策略之一。"PropNex補充道。

For 2024, Huttons expects developers to sell up to 5,500 new homes, with prices increasing by up to 4%. On the other hand, OrangeTee projects 5,000 to 6,200 units sold and a price increase of 1%-3% in 2024.

對於2024年,新加坡房地產公司Huttons預計開發商將銷售高達5,500套新房,並將價格上漲高達4%。另一方面,OrangeTee公司預計在2024年銷售5,000至6,200套新房,價格上漲1%-3%。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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