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Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Ciena公司(紐交所:CIEN)表現強勁,但基本面似乎不盡如人意:股票走向清晰嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  08/14 19:40

Ciena (NYSE:CIEN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 6.4% over the last week. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ciena's ROE today.

Ciena (紐交所:CIEN) 在股票市場上表現良好,股價上漲了顯著的6.4%。然而,我們決定關注公司的基本面,它似乎不給出公司的財務狀況的明確信號。特別是,今天我們將關注Ciena的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ciena is:

所以,根據上述公式,Ciena的roe爲:

5.3% = US$154m ÷ US$2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2024).

5.3% = 美元1.54億 ÷ 美元29億(根據最近12個月截至2024年4月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.05.

「回報」是企業去年所賺取的收入。這意味着對於每1美元股東的投資,該公司會產生0.05美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一個指標。基於公司選擇重新投資或「留存」的利潤比例,我們可以評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。其他因素相等的情況下,roe和利潤留存率都較高的公司通常比沒有這些特徵的公司增長率更高。

Ciena's Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

Ciena的盈利增長和roe5.3%

When you first look at it, Ciena's ROE doesn't look that attractive. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 9.0% either. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 6.7% seen by Ciena over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

初看起來,Ciena的roe並不那麼有吸引力。快速進一步的研究表明,公司的roe與行業平均水平9.0%並不相比。鑑於此情形,Ciena在過去5年中淨利潤顯著下降6.7%並不令人意外。我們認爲這裏也可能有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司的派息比率非常高,或面臨競爭壓力。

So, as a next step, we compared Ciena's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.3% over the last few years.

因此,作爲下一步,我們將Ciena的業績與行業進行了比較,並失望地發現雖然公司一直在縮減其盈利,但行業在過去幾年中以8.3%的速度增長其盈利。

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NYSE:CIEN Past Earnings Growth August 14th 2024
紐交所:CIEN過去的盈利增長2024年8月14日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Ciena fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

賦予公司價值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長密切相關。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論哪種情況,是否已經定價。然後這就幫助他們確定股票的未來是光明還是暗淡。Ciena是否與其他公司相比公平價值?這3個估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Ciena Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Ciena是否有效地利用了其留存收益?

Ciena doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Ciena不支付任何定期分紅,這意味着該公司保留了所有利潤,這使我們想知道,爲什麼它保留了利潤,而不能用它們來發展業務。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素正在起作用,可能正在妨礙增長。例如,這家企業面臨了一些阻力。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Ciena. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們對Ciena持有複雜的感覺。儘管它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但鑑於較低的roe,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中受益。低盈利增長表明了我們的理論是正確的。即便如此,最新的行業分析師預測表明,分析師們預計將會看到該公司的盈利增長率大幅提高。這些分析師的預測是基於對行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?單擊此處以訪問我們的分析師預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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