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Rising Commodity Prices A Bane For Hup Seng

Rising Commodity Prices A Bane For Hup Seng

商品價格上漲是合成的噩夢
Business Today ·  08/08 12:58

Hup Seng Industries Berhad demonstrated stable product demand and strong financial performance in 1HFY24, according to reports by MIDF Amanah Investment Bank (MIDF).

根據MIDF Amanah投資銀行(MIDF)的報告,Hup Seng Industries Berhad在 1HFY24 中表現出穩定的產品需求和強勁的財務表現。

MIDF downgraded its rating to NEUTRAL with a revised target price (TP) of RM1.04 from RM0.99, reflecting the recent significant price increase since 1QFY24 and concerns over rising commodity prices.

MIDF將其評級下調至中性,目標價格(TP)從0.99令吉下調至1.04令吉,這反映了自 1QFY24 以來近期價格的大幅上漲以及對大宗商品價格上漲的擔憂。

Hup Seng's 1HFY24 core PATANCI rose by +25% year-on-year (yoy) to RM23.4m, in line with full-year FY24 forecasts. Revenue increased by +4% yoy to RM173.8m, driven by higher domestic sales and lower input costs. Despite a decline in export sales, the company's gross profit margin improved by +2.8ppt to 31.3%. However, quarterly revenue fell due to weaker export markets in Thailand, Saudi Arabia, and East Malaysia.

Hup Seng的 1HFY24 核心PATANCI同比上漲25%,至2340萬令吉,與24財年全年預測一致。受國內銷售增加和投入成本降低的推動,收入同比增長了4%,達到17380萬令吉。儘管出口銷售下降,但該公司的毛利率提高了2.8個百分點至31.3%。但是,由於泰國、沙特阿拉伯和東馬來西亞的出口市場疲軟,季度收入下降。

The Bank's downgrade to NEUTRAL was due to the stock's high average Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) of 17x nearing the market's average PER of 17.5x and the risk of rising commodity prices. Despite this, Hup Seng's strong net cash position, consistent dividend payout, and stable product demand provided a cautiously optimistic outlook for FY24F. The investment bank maintained its earnings forecast for FY24-26F, citing the company's robust domestic sales and growth potential in local consumer preferences.

該行將評級下調至中性是由於該股的平均市盈率(PER)高達17倍,接近市場平均市盈率17.5倍,並且存在大宗商品價格上漲的風險。儘管如此,Hup Seng 強勁的淨現金狀況、持續的股息支付和穩定的產品需求爲 FY24F 提供了謹慎樂觀的前景。該投資銀行維持了對 FY24-26F 的收益預期,理由是該公司強勁的國內銷售和當地消費者偏好的增長潛力。

The analyst highlighted that Hup Seng declared a dividend of 2 sen per share during the quarter, contributing to an expected dividend yield of 6.1%. The food and beverage company's stable financial health, combined with a revised Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of 9.8%, supported its valuation amidst sector stability. The revised Beta of 0.77 from 0.80 indicated growing sector stability, reinforcing the NEUTRAL rating despite positive earnings growth.

該分析師強調,Hup Seng宣佈在本季度派發每股2仙的股息,預計股息收益率爲6.1%。在行業穩定的情況下,這家食品和飲料公司穩定的財務狀況,加上經修訂的9.8%的加權平均資本成本(WACC),支撐了其估值。從0.80修訂後的Beta值爲0.77,這表明該行業的穩定性不斷增強,儘管盈利正增長,但仍鞏固了中性評級。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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