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BANK OF NANJING(601009):2Q24 EARNINGS GROWTH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED

BANK OF NANJING(601009):2Q24 EARNINGS GROWTH HIGHER THAN EXPECTED

南京銀行(601009):2Q24盈利增長高於預期
中银国际 ·  08/02

Bank of Nanjing (BONJ)'s attributable net profit increased 12% in 2Q24 and 8.5% in 1H24, exceeding our expectations and higher than the 5.2% YoY growth in 1Q24, mainly thanks to decent growth in non-interest income and steady expansion in scale. It maintained an excellent assets quality as its NPL is at the low-end level among peers. We noted that its NPL ratio was 0.83% in 1H24, against 0.83% in 1Q24 and 0.9% in 2023. The risk for LGFV was quite low thanks to the solid financial position of Jiangsu provincial government and local governments. As of end-June 2024, its loans/deposits increased 10.1%/3.6% from end- 2023. Its ROAE remained at the high-end level among peers in 1H24. BONJ is now trading at 0.69x 2024E P/B, which, in our view, is undervalued. Maintain BUY rating.

南京銀行(BONJ)可歸屬淨利潤在2024年第二季度增長了12%,上半年增長了8.5%,超出了我們的預期並高於1Q24的5.2%YOY增長,主要得益於非利息收入的良好增長以及規模的穩步擴張。作爲同行中不良貸款處於低端水平,其資產質量保持優異。我們注意到其1H24的不良貸款率爲0.83%,而1Q24爲0.83%,2023年爲0.9%。由於江蘇省和地方政府的財務狀況良好,LGFV的風險相當低。截至2024年6月底,其貸款/存款同比增長10.1%/ 3.6%自2023年年底以來。其ROAE在1H24仍處於同行中的高端水平。BONJ現以0.69倍2024E P / b交易,我們認爲被低估了。維持買入評級。

Key Factors for Rating

評級的關鍵因素

BONJ maintained excellent assets quality in 1H24. We noted that its NPL ratios were 0.83%/0.83% in 1H24/1Q24, against 0.9% in 2023. We expect its NPL ratio to stay at 0.83% in 2H24, still at the low-end level among peers. Its special mention ratio dropped from 1.17% in 2023 to 1.07% in 1H24. Meanwhile, its allowance to NPLs reached 345.02% at end-June 2024, down from 360.58% at end-December 2023.

BONJ在1H24保持了出色的資產質量。我們注意到其1H24/1Q24的不良貸款率分別爲0.83%/0.83%,而2023年爲0.9%。我們預計其2H24的不良貸款率將保持在0.83% ,仍是同行中的低端水平。它的特別提及比率從2023年的1.17%降至1H24的1.07%。同時,其撥備覆蓋率在2024年6月底達到345.02%,低於2023年12月底的360.58%。

Operating income increased decently in 1H24. Its non-interest income increased 25.5% YoY in 1H24 and 34.5% in 2Q24, higher than the 17.7% YoY growth in 1Q24. Its fee and commission income increased 13.3% YoY in 1H24, against 28.8% YoY growth in 1Q24.

營業收入在1H24有相當的增長。其1H24的非利息收入同比增長25.5%,2Q24增長了34.5%,高於1Q24的17.7%同比增長。其手續費及佣金收入在1H24同比增長13.3%,而1Q24同比增長28.8%。

NIM continued to drop in 1H24. BONJ's NIM decreased 8bps YoY to 1.96% in 1H24 mainly due to weak demand of loans and declining deposits rates. As BONJ will further strengthen its financial support to the real economy, its NIM may drop another 3bps in 2H24.

1H24的淨息差繼續下降。BONJ的淨息差因貸款需求疲軟和存款利率下降而在1H24同比下降8個點子,降至1.96%。隨着BONJ進一步加強對實體經濟的金融支持,其淨息差可能在2H24再下降3個點子。

Valuation

估值

We expect its ROAE to reach 12.8% in 2024. In our view, given its solid fundamentals, BONJ should trade at a high-end valuation among its joint-stock bank and city commercial bank peers. We raised our target price from RMB11.76 to RMB12.51, based on 0.85x 2024E P/B. Maintain BUY rating.

我們預計其ROAE將在2024年達到12.8%。在我們看來,鑑於其堅實的基本面,BONJ應以高端估值在其股份制銀行和城市商業銀行同行中交易。我們將目標價從RMB11.76提高至RMB12.51億,基於0.85倍2024E P / b。維持買入評級。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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