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Further Upside For Landsea Homes Corporation (NASDAQ:LSEA) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 40% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Aug 2 02:37

Landsea Homes Corporation (NASDAQ:LSEA) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 40% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.6% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Landsea Homes' P/E ratio of 16.9x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in the United States is also close to 18x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Landsea Homes has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

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NasdaqCM:LSEA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 1st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Landsea Homes will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

Landsea Homes' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 55% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's curious that Landsea Homes' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Landsea Homes' P/E

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Landsea Homes' P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Landsea Homes currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Landsea Homes (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

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