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Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

Is Samudera Shipping Line (SGX:S56) A Risky Investment?

三洋航運(新加坡交易所:S56)是否是一項高風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  08/01 07:40

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Samudera Shipping Line Ltd (SGX:S56) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德馬克斯曾經說過,與其擔心股價波動,倒不如擔心“永久性損失的可能性……我所知道的每一位實際投資者都會關注這一點。”因此,聰明的投資者知道,債務是有破產風險的,因此評估一家公司風險時,通常會涉及債務這一要素。鮮明的是,薩姆德拉海運有限公司(SGX:S56)的確有負債。但真正的問題是,這些負債是否會使公司變得風險更高。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

普遍而言,只有在企業難以通過籌集資本或自身現金流輕鬆償付債務時,債務才會真正成爲問題。資本主義體系中自帶的"創造性破壞"過程,在這個過程中,銀行家無情地清算破產的企業。然而,一個更常見的(但仍然很痛苦的)情況是,它不得不在低價時籌集新的股本資金,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,沒有任何負面影響。考慮企業的現金和債務總量是考慮企業負債水平的第一步。

What Is Samudera Shipping Line's Debt?

薩姆德拉海運的負債是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Samudera Shipping Line had US$63.3m of debt, an increase on US$27.5m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has US$312.7m in cash, leading to a US$249.4m net cash position.

你可以點擊下面的圖片查看歷史數據,但它表明,截至2024年6月,薩姆德拉海運的債務總額達6330萬美元,同比增加了2750萬美元。但另一方面,它也有31270萬美元的現金,導致其淨現金多有24940萬美元。

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SGX:S56 Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024
SGX:S56的債務與股本歷史記錄(2024年7月31日)

How Healthy Is Samudera Shipping Line's Balance Sheet?

薩姆德拉海運的資產負債表看上去如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Samudera Shipping Line had liabilities of US$114.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$183.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$312.7m in cash and US$82.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$97.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,薩姆德拉海運有着11400萬美元的一年內到期短期負債,以及18360萬美元到期長期負債。與此相抵消的是,它有31270萬美元的現金和8270萬美元的應收賬款。因此,在流動資產和總負債之間,它可以誇口擁有9770萬美元的淨流動資產。

It's good to see that Samudera Shipping Line has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Samudera Shipping Line boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

值得注意的是,薩姆德拉海運的資產負債表上充滿流動性,這表明了其對債務的保守管理。由於它強大的淨資產地位,它很可能不會面臨與債權人的問題。簡而言之,薩姆德拉海運擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that Samudera Shipping Line's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 71% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Samudera Shipping Line will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

薩姆德拉海運的EBIt在過去一年中下降了71%。當一家公司看到其盈利下滑時,有時會發現其與債權人之間的關係變得緊張。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但你不能孤立地看待債務,因爲薩姆德拉海運需要盈利來支付那些債務。因此,如果你想更深入地了解它的盈利情況,可以查看它的長期盈利趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Samudera Shipping Line has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Samudera Shipping Line actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,一家公司需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能滿足這個要求。雖然薩姆德拉海運在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得關注它將利潤利潤和稅前收益(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它正在以多快的速度積累(或侵蝕)現金餘額。在過去的三年裏,薩姆德拉海運的自由現金流實際上比EBIt還要高。那種強大的現金轉換讓我們像達夫特朋克演唱會上橋段高潮的人群一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Samudera Shipping Line has US$249.4m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 113% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$52m. So we don't think Samudera Shipping Line's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Samudera Shipping Line .

雖然調查公司的債務始終是明智的,但在這種情況下,薩姆德拉海運有24940萬美元的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表結構。雖然其EBIt的轉換率達到了113%,爲自由現金流帶來了5200萬美元的收入,但無法掩蓋的是,每個公司都可能存在於資產負債表之外的風險。因此,你應該知道,在薩姆德拉海運的案例中,我們發現了兩個警告信號。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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