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Russell 2000 Index Notches Strongest Week Of Year, Hits 31-Month Highs: Outlook Is 'Clouded By Fed's Concerns Over Labor Market,' Analyst Warns

Russell 2000 Index Notches Strongest Week Of Year, Hits 31-Month Highs: Outlook Is 'Clouded By Fed's Concerns Over Labor Market,' Analyst Warns

納斯達克2000指數創下了本年度表現最爲強勁的一週，達到了31個月來的新高：分析師警告，展望被聯儲局對勞動市場的擔憂所矇蔽。
Benzinga ·  04:25

The Russell 2000 index of small caps, tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM), recorded its best weekly performance since October 2023, surging over 6% and reaching its highest level since January 2022.

由iShares羅素2000指數ETF（紐交所：IWM）跟蹤的小盤股Russell 2000指數錄得自2023年10月以來最佳周表現，上漲逾6％並達到2022年1月以來的最高水平。

The rally was largely driven by Thursday's session, where the Russell 2000 posted a remarkable 3.6% daily gain. This spike followed lower-than-expected June inflation data, which fueled speculation of potential interest rate cuts.

此次上漲主要受週四的交易所推動，其中Russell 2000指數錄得了驚人的3.6％的日漲幅。此次暴漲是繼低於預期的6月通脹數據後的反彈，引發了對潛在降息的猜測。

However, Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial, advises caution, suggesting that Russell 2000's rate cut message may be "clouded by Fed's concerns over labor market."

然而，LPL Financial的首席全球策略師Quincy Krosby提醒投資者要謹慎，認爲Russell 2000的降息信息可能會“被聯邦儲備委員會對勞動力市場的擔憂所掩蓋”。

Krosby thinks a weaker labor market would still hurt the economically sensitive Russell 2000 index, and rate cuts may not necessarily shield it from a broader economic slowdown.

Krosby認爲，勞動力市場疲軟仍會對敏感指數Russell 2000產生負面影響，降息也不一定能夠保護它免受更廣泛的經濟放緩的影響。

Chart of The Week: Small Caps Achieved Best-Performing Week In Over 8 Months

本週熱點：小盤股創八個月以來最佳表現

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Image: Benzinga Pro

圖片：Benzinga Pro

The Russell 2000's impressive performance highlights a significant shift in market focus, with interest rate-sensitive small and mid-cap stocks benefiting as investors move away from mega-tech names and direct inflows into the broader market, Krosby highlighted.

Russell 2000指數的表現引人矚目，凸顯了市場焦點的顯著轉變，隨着投資者從大型科技公司轉投更爲關注利率的中小型股票，資金直接流入更廣泛的市場，Krosby也強調了這一點。

The analyst indicated the Russell 2000 serves as a critical indicator for potential interest rate easing and broader economic conditions. Typically, the small- and mid-cap universe will sell off at any hint of a significant economic slowdown, despite their attractive valuations.

分析師指出，Russell 2000指數是衡量潛在降息和更廣泛經濟狀況的關鍵指標。通常，在任何跡象表明經濟顯著放緩的情況下，小型和中型股票都會拋售，儘管它們的估值具有吸引力。

"Historically, the Russell 2000 lags the market for three months following the first rate cut as the Fed normally cuts rates due to concerns about the economy and specifically the labor market. Fed Chair Powell has made it clear, as he continues to invoke the Fed's maximum employment mandate, that the Fed would cut rates at a faster pace to help support the economy," she said.

她說：“歷史上，Russell 2000在第一次降息後的三個月內落後於市場，因爲聯儲通常由於擔憂經濟特別是勞動力市場而進行降息。聯儲主席鮑威爾明確表示，由於繼續強調聯邦最大就業的職責，聯儲將以更快的速度降息以幫助支持經濟。”

If labor market conditions deteriorate, the Fed might initiate an easing cycle sooner than the scheduled Sept. 18 meeting, Krosby stated. The market prefers a rate cut driven by inflation easing within a robust economic backdrop.

如果勞動力市場狀況惡化，聯儲可能比預定的9月18日會議提前啓動降息週期，Krosby表示。市場更喜歡在強勁的經濟環境中由通脹緩解引發的降息。

This Week's Top Performers In The Russell 2000

本週羅素2000表現最佳的股票：

  1. Morphic Holding, Inc. (NASDAQ:MORF): 75.16% (Health Care)
  2. Lantheus Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:LNTH): 55.47% (Health Care)
  3. IGM Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:IGMS): 54.22% (Health Care)
  4. SoundHound AI, Inc. (NASDAQ:SOUN): 52.63% (Information Technology)
  5. Methode Electronics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MEI): 47.96% (Information Technology)
  6. Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc. (NYSE:SOI): 46.87% (Energy)
  7. Pulse Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:PLSE): 45.98% (Health Care)
  8. Ouster, Inc. (NYSE:OUST): 44.21% (Information Technology)
  9. EVgo, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVGO): 42.65% (Consumer Discretionary)
  10. Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN): 42.51% (Industrials)
  1. Morphic Holding，Inc.（納斯達克：MORF）：75.16％（醫療保健）
  2. Lantheus Holdings，Inc.（納斯達克：LNTH）：55.47％（醫療保健）
  3. IGm Biosciences，Inc.（納斯達克：IGMS）：54.22％（醫療保健）
  4. SoundHound AI，Inc.（納斯達克：SOUN）：52.63％（信息技術）
  5. Methode Electronics，Inc.（納斯達克：MEI）：47.96％（信息技術）
  6. Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure，Inc.（紐交所：SOI）：46.87％（能源化工）
  7. Pulse Biosciences，Inc.（納斯達克：PLSE）：45.98％（醫療保健）
  8. Ouster，Inc.（紐交所：OUST）：44.21％（信息技術）
  9. EVgo，Inc.（納斯達克：EVGO）：42.65％（消費者自選）
  10. Sunrun Inc.（納斯達克：RUN）：42.51％（工業）

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Photo: Shutterstock

Photo: shutterstock

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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