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Is Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) A Risky Investment?

Is Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) A Risky Investment?

frontdoor(納斯達克:FTDR)是否是有風險的投資?
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 19:55

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FTDR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,Frontdoor, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:FTDR)也使用債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,這也是爲了自己的利益。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先將現金和債務水平放在一起考慮。

What Is Frontdoor's Debt?

什麼是前門債務?

As you can see below, Frontdoor had US$590.0m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$384.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$206.0m.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,Frontdoor的債務爲5.90億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,它確實有3.84億美元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲2.06億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:FTDR Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024
NASDAQGS: FTDR 債務與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 7 月 5 日

How Healthy Is Frontdoor's Balance Sheet?

Frontdoor的資產負債表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Frontdoor had liabilities of US$360.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$624.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$384.0m in cash and US$4.00m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$596.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Frontdoor的負債爲3.60億美元,一年後到期的負債爲6.24億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有3.84億美元的現金和400萬美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出5.96億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Frontdoor is worth US$2.69b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲Frontdoor的價值爲26.9億美元,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

Frontdoor has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Frontdoor has boosted its EBIT by 56%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Frontdoor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Frontdoor的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率很低,僅爲0.65。而且其息稅前利潤很容易彌補其利息支出,是其規模的12.8倍。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,Frontdoor已將其息稅前利潤提高了56%,從而減少了對未來償還債務的擔憂。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定Frontdoor未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Frontdoor produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們總是檢查該息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Frontdoor產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的66%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Frontdoor's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Frontdoor's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Frontdoor , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人高興的是,Frontdoor令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着它在債務上佔了上風。好消息不止於此,因爲其息稅前利潤增長率也支持這種印象!從大局來看,我們認爲Frontdoor使用債務似乎相當合理,我們對此並不擔心。雖然債務確實會帶來風險,但如果明智地使用,它也可以帶來更高的股本回報率。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向Frontdoor確定了1個警告信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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