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Is Singapore Telecommunications (SGX:Z74) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Singapore Telecommunications (SGX:Z74) Using Too Much Debt?

新加坡電信(SGX:Z74)是否使用過多債務?
Simply Wall St ·  07/05 06:25

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Singapore Telecommunications Limited (SGX:Z74) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯很漂亮地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的風險是永久損失...所有實際的投資者我認識的人都感到擔憂。因此在考慮股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。重要的是,新加坡電信有限公司(SGX:Z74)確實有債務。但這個債務會讓股東們擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務可以協助業務,直到業務遇到無法用新資本或自由現金流償還債務的困境爲止。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸者可以接手業務。然而,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低於市場價格出售股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以加強其資產負債表。但是,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的一種極好的工具。在考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Singapore Telecommunications Carry?

新加坡電信承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Singapore Telecommunications had S$8.75b of debt, an increase on S$7.61b, over one year. However, it does have S$4.63b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$4.12b.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但是截至2024年3月,新加坡電信負有875億新加坡元的債務,一年內增加了761億新加坡元。但它確實有463億新加坡元的現金抵消,導致淨債務約爲412億新加坡元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:Z74 Debt to Equity History July 4th 2024
SGX:Z74資產負債歷史數據2024年7月4日

A Look At Singapore Telecommunications' Liabilities

看看新加坡電信的負載吧。

According to the last reported balance sheet, Singapore Telecommunications had liabilities of S$7.65b due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$13.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had S$4.63b in cash and S$4.42b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$12.2b.

根據最近一份財務報表,新加坡電信的負債總額爲765億新加坡元,到期在12個月內,負債總額爲1,360億新加坡元,超過了現金和(短期)應收款總額的122億新加坡元。而其現金和在12個月內到期的應收賬款分別爲463億和442億新加坡元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Singapore Telecommunications is worth a massive S$47.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

這種逆差並不算太嚴重,因爲新加坡電信的價值高達477億新加坡元,因此如果需要的話,它可能籌集足夠的資本來鞏固其資產負債表。但顯然,我們肯定應仔細考慮它是否可以在不稀釋權益的情況下管理其債務。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.3 and interest cover of 4.3 times, it seems to us that Singapore Telecommunications is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Singapore Telecommunications grew its EBIT by 3.5% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Singapore Telecommunications can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

從其淨債務對息稅前盈利的比率爲1.3和利息覆蓋率爲4.3倍來看,新加坡電信似乎是以相當合理的方式利用債務。因此,我們建議密切關注融資成本對業務的影響。新加坡電信的EBIt在過去一年中增長了3.5%。雖然這對於債務來說幾乎沒有什麼影響,但也是積極的。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是一個明顯的起點。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定新加坡電信是否能夠逐步加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的意見,您可能會發現這篇有分析預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Singapore Telecommunications actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但是我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙質利潤來還債;它需要冷硬的現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的數量有多少。在過去的三年中,新加坡電信實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIt還要多。當談到維持借款人的良好信譽時,沒有什麼比入賬現金更好的了。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Singapore Telecommunications's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its interest cover. All these things considered, it appears that Singapore Telecommunications can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Singapore Telecommunications (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

令人高興的是,新加坡電信將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流的卓越能力表明它掌握了債務的主動權。但是,更爲嚴峻的是,我們對它的利息覆蓋率有些擔憂。在綜合考慮所有這些因素後,新加坡電信似乎可以輕鬆管理其當前的債務水平。當然,雖然這種槓桿能夠增強權益回報,但它也帶來更多的風險,因此值得密切關注。資產負債表顯然是分析債務的重點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中。例如,我們已經發現了3個有關新加坡電信的警示信號(1個有點令人不快!)您在投資這裏之前應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

總的來說,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包含這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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