British Pound, European Stocks Surge Ahead Of UK Election Results; Bitcoin Plummets: What's Driving Markets Thursday?
British Pound, European Stocks Surge Ahead Of UK Election Results; Bitcoin Plummets: What's Driving Markets Thursday?
Ipek Ozkardeskaya, an analyst at Swissquote Bank Ltd, outlined two likely scenarios: a strong Labour majority with 150 seats — nearly double Boris Johnson's 80-seat majority in 2019 — or a super majority with 250 seats. With U.S. markets closed for Independence Day, European stocks and currencies rose on Thursday, showing no signs of risk aversion despite the ongoing UK legislative elections.
美國市場因爲獨立日關閉，歐洲股票和貨幣在週四上漲，顯示出不懼風險的跡象，儘管英國立法選舉仍在進行中。
The Labour Party is expected to achieve a landslide victory, ending 14 consecutive years of Conservative (or Tories) leadership. Heading to the elections, the Labour Party led by about 20 percentage points against Tories.
預計工黨將取得壓倒性勝利，結束14年的保守黨（或託利黨）領導。在選舉即將到來之際，工黨領先於託利黨約20個百分點。
Polls will close at 5:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, with results expected later tonight.
民調將在週四下午5:00 ET關閉，預計晚些時候公佈結果。
UK Stocks And Sterling
英國股票和英鎊
Ipek Ozkardeskaya, an analyst at Swissquote Bank Ltd, outlined two likely scenarios: a strong Labour majority with 150 seats — nearly double Boris Johnson's 80-seat majority in 2019 — or a super majority with 250 seats.
瑞士銀行分析師Ipek Ozkardeskaya概述了兩種可能的情況：得到150個席位的強大工黨多數黨，幾乎是2019年鮑里斯·約翰遜80個席位多數黨的兩倍，或者超級多數黨得到250個席位。兩種情況都將使工黨能夠在英國實施重大改革。
Both outcomes would enable Labour to enact significant reforms in the UK.
這兩種結果都將使工黨能夠在英國實施重大改革。
"Even investors want to see Labour take over the reins this time," she remarked.
她說：“即使是投資者也希望這次工黨接管大權。”
Analysts perceive a Labour victory as positive for UK stocks and sterling. Ozkardeskaya highlighted that small and medium-sized British stocks will benefit more than the FTSE 100, which is heavily influenced by global market dynamics.
分析師認爲工黨勝選對英國股票和英鎊是正面的。奧茲卡德斯凱亞（Ozkardeskaya）指出，受全球市場動態影響較大的富時100指數相比，小型和中型的英國股票將受益更多。
On Thursday, the FTSE 100 Index rose over 1%, marking its second consecutive day in the green. Smith & Nephew led gains, up 7.6% following Cevian Capital's acquisition of a 5% stake. Bunzl and Melrose each rose by 2.9%, while Barclays plc (NYSE:BCS) led the banking sector with a 2.1% increase.
週四，富時100指數上漲超過1％，標誌着它第二個連續上漲的交易日。史密斯和尼福帶頭增長，Cevian Capital收購了5％的股份後，上漲了7.6％。巴澤爾和梅爾羅斯各上漲2.9％，而巴克萊銀行（NYSE：BCS）以2.1％的漲幅領跑銀行領域。
The British pound, tracked by the Invesco CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling ETF (NYSE:FXB), edged 0.2% higher, marking its sixth consecutive session of gains. The euro saw similar performance.
英鎊，由Invesco CurrencyShares英鎊ETF（NYSE：FXB）跟蹤，上漲了0.2％，創下六連漲。歐元也表現出類似的走勢。
Other Movers On Thursday
週四其他的市場動態
The dollar weakened against all major currencies, with the Japanese yen gaining 0.3% against the greenback.
美元對所有主要貨幣走弱，日元兌美元升值了0.3％。
Confidence that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally will not obtain an absolute majority at the second round of French elections this Sunday buoyed other European markets.
有信心馬琳·勒龐的極右翼民族聯盟不會在本週日的第二輪法國選舉中獲得絕對多數支持，這一信心提振了其他歐洲市場。
The French CAC 40 index rose 0.8%, as did the Italian FTSE Mib, while the German DAX inched 0.4% higher.
法國CAC 40指數上漲了0.8％，意大利富時Mib指數也上漲了0.8％，而德國DAX指數微漲了0.4％。
The broader Euro STOXX 50 Index, tracked by the SPDR DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETF (NYSE:FEZ), closed 0.4% higher, notably surging above the key 50-day moving average for the first time since June 13.
SPDR DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETF（NYSE：FEZ）跟蹤的更廣泛的歐洲STOXX 50指數收盤上漲了0.4％，顯着上漲至自6月13日以來首次突破關鍵的50日移動平均線。
Chart: Euro STOXX 50 Index Closes Above 50-Day Average
圖表：Euro STOXX 50指數收盤上漲50日均線以上
In commodities markets, copper rallied 0.9%, marking its fifth straight positive session. Gold rose 0.2%, while silver fell 0.2%.
在商品市場上，銅上漲0.9％，連續第五天上漲。黃金上漲0.2％，而白銀下跌了0.2％。
Oil prices showed robust gains, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude futures climbing to $84, up 0.8%.
油價表現強勁，西德克薩斯中質輕賤油期貨價格上漲至84美元，上漲0.8％。
Cryptocurrencies were the weakest market segment:
加密貨幣是最弱的市場部分：
- Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) down 3.8%
- Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) down 4.1%
- Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) down 5%
- Ripple (CRYPTO: XRP) down 5.1%
- Cardano (CRYPTO: ADA) down 5.4%.
- 比特幣 (CRYPTO: BTC) 下跌3.8％
- Solana（加密貨幣：solana）下跌4.1%。
- 以太坊（加密貨幣：ETH）下跌5%。
- 瑞波幣（加密貨幣：XRP）下跌5.1%。
- 艾達幣（加密貨幣：ADA）下跌5.4%。
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Image: Pixabay
圖片：Pixabay
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
