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Is Fortive (NYSE:FTV) A Risky Investment?

Is Fortive (NYSE:FTV) A Risky Investment?

Fortive(紐交所:FTV)是一項有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/24 18:31

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他說,與其擔心股票價格波動,不如擔心“永久損失的可能性就是我所擔心的風險…每個實踐的投資者我知道都擔心。”因此,聰明的錢似乎知道,債務——通常與破產有關——是評估公司風險時的一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到Fortive Corporation (NYSE:FTV)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但是這筆債務會讓股東感到擔憂嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業無法通過新的資本或自由現金流來償還。資本主義的一部分是“創造性摧毀”過程,其中銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。然而,一個更普遍的(但仍然昂貴的)情況是,企業必須用低廉的股價稀釋股東權益,才能控制債務。當然,很多公司利用債務來資助增長,沒有任何負面的後果。當我們考慮公司使用債務的情況時,我們首先看現金和債務的總和。

How Much Debt Does Fortive Carry?

Fortive的債務有多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Fortive had US$3.94b of debt, up from US$3.09b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$704.6m, its net debt is less, at about US$3.24b.

如您下方所示,截至2024年3月底,Fortive擁有39.4億美元的債務,高於一年前的30.9億美元。點擊圖片以獲取更多細節。但是,由於它有7.046億美元的現金儲備,因此它的淨債務較少,約爲32.4億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:FTV Debt to Equity History June 24th 2024
NYSE:FTV資產負債歷史記錄截至2024年6月24日

How Healthy Is Fortive's Balance Sheet?

Fortive的資產負債表看起來如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Fortive had liabilities of US$1.74b due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.30b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$704.6m as well as receivables valued at US$1.14b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$5.19b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Fortive有17.4億美元的負債要在一年內到期,以及53億美元的負債在此之後到期。抵消這些負債,它有7.046億美元的現金以及1.14億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和51.9億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Fortive has a huge market capitalization of US$25.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

雖然可能看起來很多,但由於Fortive擁有259億美元的巨額市值,因此如果需要,它可能可以通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。然而,仍有必要仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海運的淨債務爲1.7倍EBITDA,這表明它很好地利用了債務。 同時,EBIT利息覆蓋(7.3倍)也證明卡比海運的利潤完全足以支付管理費和計息費。此外,卡比海運過去12個月EBIT增長了64%,這種增長將使其更容易處理其債務。通過財務報表,我們確信該公司對債務的運用是明智的。然而,確保公司未來的盈利能力才是最終關鍵,這將決定卡比海運能否逐漸加強其資產負債表。此外,自由現金流還將幫助我們檢查公司的出現的任何偏離預期的現金流。

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.0, Fortive uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.3 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. We saw Fortive grow its EBIT by 9.3% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fortive can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

以2.0的債務/利潤率來看,Fortive有條不紊的使用債務。令人嚮往的利息覆蓋率(利潤除以利息費用的8.3倍)當然沒有任何不利因素。沒有我們看到Fortive在過去12個月中EBIT增長了9.3%。這離令人難以置信還有很遠,但是對於償還債務來說是一件好事。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定Fortive能否隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示分析師的利潤預測。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Fortive actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙質利潤支付債務;它需要冰冷的現金。因此,值得檢查有多少EIBT是由自由現金流支持的。對於任何股東來說,令人高興的是,過去三年,Fortive的自由現金流比EBIT更高。在保持與貸款人的良好關係方面,沒有比流入現金更好的事情了。

Our View

我們的觀點

Fortive's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And we also thought its interest cover was a positive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Fortive is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Fortive insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.

Fortive的EBIT轉爲自由現金流,表明它可以像Cristiano Ronaldo(葡萄牙足球運動員)輕鬆進球一樣處理其債務。我們還認爲其利息覆蓋率是一個積極因素。當我們考慮以上因素的範圍時,Fortive的使用債務看起來相當明智。這意味着他們正在承擔更多的風險,以增加股東回報率。當然,如果我們知道Fortive內部人員一直在購買股票,那麼我們也不會拒絕額外的信心:如果您與他們保持一致,您可以通過點擊此鏈接查看內部人員是否正在購買股票。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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