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Investors in Mandarin Oriental International (SGX:M04) From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 8.0%, Even After 3.4% Gain This Past Week

Investors in Mandarin Oriental International (SGX:M04) From Three Years Ago Are Still Down 8.0%, Even After 3.4% Gain This Past Week

三年前投資新加坡交易所文華東方國際(SGX:M04)的投資者仍然虧損8.0%,即使在過去的一週中獲得了3.4%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  06/20 06:40

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Mandarin Oriental International Limited (SGX:M04) share price has gained 15% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. Truth be told the share price declined 11% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.

雖然這不是一個令人難以置信的舉動,但很高興看到文華東方國際有限公司(SGX: M04)的股價在過去三個月中上漲了15%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去三年的回報並不令人滿意。說實話,股價在三年內下跌了11%,親愛的讀者,這一回報沒有達到指數基金被動投資所能獲得的回報。

On a more encouraging note the company has added US$76m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.

更令人鼓舞的是,該公司的市值在過去的7天內就增加了7600萬美元,因此,讓我們看看我們能否確定導致股東三年虧損的原因。

Mandarin Oriental International isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

文華東方國際目前尚未盈利,因此大多數分析師會着眼於收入的增長,以了解基礎業務的增長速度。當一家公司沒有盈利時,我們通常希望看到良好的收入增長。可以想象,收入的快速增長如果持續下去,通常會帶來利潤的快速增長。

Over three years, Mandarin Oriental International grew revenue at 37% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. The share price drop of 4% per year over three years would be considered disappointing by many, so you might argue the company is getting little credit for its impressive revenue growth. It's possible that the prior share price assumed unrealistically high future growth. Before considering a purchase, investors should consider how quickly expenses are growing, relative to revenue.

在過去的三年中,文華東方國際的收入以每年 37% 的速度增長。這遠高於大多數其他盈利前公司。許多人會認爲三年內股價每年下跌4%,令人失望,因此你可能會爭辯說,該公司令人印象深刻的收入增長几乎沒有得到任何讚譽。之前的股價可能假設未來的高增長率是不切實際的。在考慮收購之前,投資者應考慮支出相對於收入的增長速度。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:M04 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 19th 2024
新加坡交易所:M04 收益和收入增長 2024 年 6 月 19 日

This free interactive report on Mandarin Oriental International's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想進一步調查文華東方國際資產負債表實力,這份關於文華東方國際資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Mandarin Oriental International's TSR for the last 3 years was -8.0%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。碰巧的是,文華東方國際過去3年的股東總回報率爲-8.0%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Mandarin Oriental International has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 11% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 1.0% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Mandarin Oriental International (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高興看到文華東方國際在過去十二個月中向股東提供了11%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年1.0%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經向文華東方國際確定了兩個警告信號(至少一個可能很嚴重),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在新加坡交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team@simplywallst.com

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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