To the annoyance of some shareholders, Aterian, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATER) shares are down a considerable 33% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 66% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may consider Aterian as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has Aterian Performed Recently?
Aterian could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Aterian.
How Is Aterian's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Aterian's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 39% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 27% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.4% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Aterian's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Aterian's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Consumer Durables companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Aterian's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Aterian you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Aterian's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對於一些股東來說,Aterian, Inc. (NASDAQ:ATER) 股票在過去一個月中下跌了33%,這讓公司的走勢變得更加糟糕。最近的跌勢爲股東帶來了徹底的十二個月的災難性損失,虧損達66%