Fed Will Cut Interest Rates — But When? Most Investors Agree It Won't Be July, Bank Of America Says
Fed Will Cut Interest Rates — But When? Most Investors Agree It Won't Be July, Bank Of America Says
According to Bank of America's monthly global fund manager survey, investors are confident the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at least twice in the next year.
根據美國銀行每月一次的全球基金經理調查，投資者相信聯邦儲備委員會在未來一年內至少會降息兩次。
What Happened: Here's a breakdown of the findings, per Barron's:
發生了什麼：以下是根據Barron's的調查結果：
- 84% of investors anticipate a rate cut sometime in 2024.
- 33% of respondents foresee two rate cuts in the coming year.
- 31% predict three cuts.
- 14% expect more than three reductions.
- 8% believe the Fed will maintain current rates throughout the period.
- 39% of investors predict a rate cut in September.
- 16% expect a cut in November.
- 23% foresee a cut in December.
- 6% believe a rate cut will occur as early as July.
- 84%的投資者預計在2024年某個時候會降息。
- 33%的受訪者預測在未來一年內會有兩次降息。
- 31%的人預測將有三次降息。
- 14%的人預計將會有三次以上的降息。
- 8%的人相信聯儲局會在這段時間內維持當前利率。
- 39%的投資者預計在9月會降息。
- 16%的人預期在11月會降息。
- 23%的人預測在12月會降息。
- 6%的人相信降息將在7月就會發生。
Why It Matters: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions significantly impact the economy, borrowing costs, interest rates and the stock market.
爲什麼很重要：聯邦儲備委員會的利率決定會對經濟、借款成本、利率和股市產生重大影響。
The Fed has maintained its benchmark policy rate in the 5.25%-5.5% range since July 2023 to counter inflationary pressures.
自2023年7月以來，聯儲局一直將其基準政策利率維持在5.25％-5.5％的區間以抵消通脹壓力。
Its projections, released earlier this month, indicate the median forecast of all 19 U.S. central bankers was for a single interest rate cut this year.
根據本月早些時候發佈的預測，19位美國央行行長的中值預測爲今年只會有一次降息。
When? Neel Kashkari, the President of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve, says "toward the end of the year."
何時會發生降息？明尼阿波利斯聯邦儲備銀行行長尼爾·卡什卡里表示：“年底的時候。”
What's Next: The next Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be held July 30-31.
接下來將會在7月30日至31日舉行下一次聯邦公開市場委員會會議。
At last month's FOMC meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back on fears of rate hikes, deeming them as "unlikely."
在上個月的聯邦公開市場委員會會議上，聯儲局主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾推遲了加息的擔憂，認爲這是“不太可能”的。
Price Action: The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was up 0.075% at last check Tuesday, while bonds, as gauged by the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) were 0.52% higher.
股價表現：標普500_SPDR ETF信託基金（紐交所：SPY）在上週二的最後一次檢查時漲了0.075％，而根據iShares 20+年期美國國庫券ETF（納斯達克：TLT）的數據，債券價格上漲了0.52％。
Now Read: Wall Street Looks Jaded After Record Run As Traders Shift Focus To Retail Sales Data, Fed Speeches: 'FOMO Still Rules The Market For AI-Related Stocks,' Says Analyst
現在閱讀：在股市交投開始轉向零售銷售數據和聯儲局講話之際，華爾街看起來有些厭倦：“FOMO仍然統治着人工智能相關股票市場”，分析師認爲。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。