Should You Think About Buying NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Now?
Should You Think About Buying NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Now?
Let's talk about the popular NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR). The company's shares saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$8,100 and falling to the lows of US$7,335. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether NVR's current trading price of US$7,688 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at NVR's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
現在來談談紐交所主流幣NVR。最近幾個月來，該公司股票在紐交所上看到了顯著的股價波動，漲到了8100美元的高位，並跌至7335美元的低谷。股價波動可能會爲投資者提供更好的機會，以低於當前價格買進股票。我們需要回答的一個問題是，NVR現在的7,688美元的交易價值是否反映了大型市值股票的實際價值？還是它目前被低估了，爲我們提供了買入的機會？讓我們根據最近的財務數據來看一下NVR的前景和價值，看看是否有任何觸發價格變動的因素。
What Is NVR Worth?
NVR價值是多少？
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It's trading around 2.33% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy NVR today, you'd be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $7512.60, then there isn't really any room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because NVR's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
根據我們的估值模型，該股票目前似乎定價合理。它的交易價格大約比我們的內在價值高2.33％，這意味着如果今天買入NVR，您將爲其支付一個相對合理的價格。如果您相信該股票的真實價值爲7512.60美元，那麼目前的交易價格就沒有超出它的增長空間。儘管可能會在未來有買入的機會，但是由於NVR的beta值（股價波動的度量）較高，因此其價格相對於市場的波動將被誇大。如果市場看淡，該公司的股票價格將可能下跌得比市場其他股票更多，這提供了一個主板購買機會。
What kind of growth will NVR generate?
NVR將產生何種增長？
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of NVR, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -3.3%, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
未來前景是您考慮購買股票時的重要因素，尤其是如果您是一位尋求股票增長的投資者。購買一家前景看好、價格便宜的優秀公司總是明智的投資，因此讓我們來看看該公司的未來預期。儘管在NVR的情況下，預計將出現-3.3％的負增長，這並沒有幫助建立投資論點。至少在短期內，未來不確定性的風險很高。
What This Means For You
這對您意味着什麼？
Are you a shareholder? NVR seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
您是股東嗎？目前NVR似乎定價合理，但鑑於未來出現負回報的不確定性，現在可能是減少投資組合風險的正確時機。您目前持有的股份是否爲您的總資產配置最佳？持有負增長前景的股票的機會成本是否過高？在對該股票做決定之前，請查看其基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on NVR for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help gel your views on NVR should the price fluctuate below its true value.
您是潛在投資者嗎？如果您一直關注NVR，那麼現在可能不是最有利的買入時機，因爲它正在以公允的價值交易。該股票似乎正在以公允價值交易，這意味着錯位定價的好處更少。此外，負增長前景會增加持有該股票的風險。但是，我們今天還沒有考慮其他重要因素，這些因素可以幫助明確您對NVR的看法，如果價格低於其真實價值，則可以幫助明確您對NVR的看法。
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for NVR (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be familiar with.
因此，如果您希望對公司進行更多分析，了解其中涉及的風險是至關重要的。例如，我們已經確定了NVR的2個警告信號（其中1個不應被忽略），您應該熟悉這些信號。
If you are no longer interested in NVR, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您對NVR不再感興趣，您可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們超過50種具有高增長潛力的其他股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋？關於內容有所顧慮？直接和我們聯繫。或者，發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論，只使用公正的方法論，我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議，也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意，我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
對本文有反饋？關於內容有所顧慮？直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。