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Is ZKH Group (NYSE:ZKH) Using Too Much Debt?

Is ZKH Group (NYSE:ZKH) Using Too Much Debt?

ZKH集團(紐交所:ZKH)是否負債過多?
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 21:23

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies ZKH Group Limited (NYSE:ZKH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳說中的基金經理李錄(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾說:“最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”因此,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司破產。與許多其他公司一樣,ZKH Group Limited(紐交所:ZKH)利用債務。但這種債務是否對股東構成了擔憂?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業不能輕鬆履行負債的義務時,債務和其他負債變得具有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以優惠價格籌集資本。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人就可以控制企業。然而,一個更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業不得不以低廉的價格募集新股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務的優點是,它通常代表便宜的本金,尤其是在以高回報率進行再投資的能力替代稀釋的公司中。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看它的現金和債務。

What Is ZKH Group's Net Debt?

ZKH Group的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 ZKH Group had debt of CN¥701.0m, up from CN¥560.2m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.89b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.18b net cash.

下面的圖片顯示,截至2024年3月,ZKH Group的債務爲7.01億元人民幣,比一年前的5.602億元人民幣增長,但其資產負債表顯示其持有18.9億元人民幣的現金,因此其實際淨現金爲11.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ZKH Debt to Equity History June 14th 2024
紐交所:ZKH 資產負債比歷史 (2024年6月14日)

How Strong Is ZKH Group's Balance Sheet?

ZKH Group的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ZKH Group had liabilities of CN¥3.59b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥130.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.89b in cash and CN¥3.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最後報告的資產負債表顯示,ZKH Group在12個月內有35.9億元人民幣的負債,超過12個月的負債爲1.302億元人民幣。但它持有18.9億元人民幣的現金和36.3億元人民幣的應收賬款,這些賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它實際擁有1.8億元人民幣。總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。

This surplus liquidity suggests that ZKH Group's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, ZKH Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ZKH Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這種過剩流動性表明ZKH Group的資產負債表可能會像霍默·辛普森的頭一樣受到打擊。考慮到這個事實,我們認爲它的資產負債表像一頭牛一樣強大。簡言之,ZKH Group擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有負擔沉重的債務!當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的區域。但是,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定ZKH Group維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看本免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

In the last year ZKH Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 3.0%, to CN¥8.6b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

在過去一年中,ZKH Group的息稅前利潤(EBIT)不盈利,但增長了3.0%,達到8.6億元人民幣。我們通常希望看到未盈利公司的增長更快,但每個人都有自己的觀點。

So How Risky Is ZKH Group?

ZKH Group的風險有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that ZKH Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥624m and booked a CN¥901m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the CN¥1.18b on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for ZKH Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

由於虧損的公司的特性,它們比長期盈利的公司更具風險性。我們確實注意到,ZKH Group在過去一年中出現了息稅前虧損,並在同期出現了624億元人民幣的負自由現金流,以及901億元人民幣的賬面虧損。但救星是資產負債表上的11.8億元人民幣。這意味着它可以以當前的速度保持支出超過兩年。儘管其資產負債表似乎足夠流動,但債務總是讓我們有些緊張,如果一家公司不經常產生自由現金流的話。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的區域。但是,不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們在此發現了1個ZKH Group的警告信號,您在投資之前應該了解。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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