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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Royalty Pharma Plc (NASDAQ:RPRX)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Royalty Pharma Plc (NASDAQ:RPRX)?

納斯達克(NASDAQ):股價下跌,財務狀況尚可:市場對Royalty Pharma Plc(royalty pharma)(NASDAQ:RPRX)錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/14 03:57

Royalty Pharma (NASDAQ:RPRX) has had a rough three months with its share price down 8.9%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Royalty Pharma's ROE today.

Royalty Pharma(納斯達克:RPRX)的股價在過去三個月中下降了8.9%。然而,公司的股價通常是由其長期財務狀況驅動的,而在這種情況下,其財務狀況似乎相當可觀。今天我們將特別關注Royalty Pharma的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東必須考慮股本回報率或ROE,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。 簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益報酬率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

淨資產收益率可以使用以下公式進行計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Royalty Pharma is:

因此,根據上述公式,Royalty Pharma的roe爲:

12% = US$1.2b ÷ US$9.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

12%= 12b美元÷ 99b美元(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.12 in profit.

“回報”指的是公司過去一年的收益。一種概念化的方法是,在每1美元股東資本的基礎上,公司獲得了0.12美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力,我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量公司利潤的效率如何。基於公司選擇再投資或保留多少利潤,我們隨後能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。總的來說,在其他條件相等的情況下,具有高ROE和利潤保留的公司的增長率比沒有這些特徵的公司要高。

Royalty Pharma's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

Royalty Pharma的收益增長和12%的roe

At first glance, Royalty Pharma seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 14%. For this reason, Royalty Pharma's five year net income decline of 41% raises the question as to why the decent ROE didn't translate into growth. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,Royalty Pharma似乎具有不錯的roe。此外,公司的roe與14%的行業平均水平相似。因此,Royalty Pharma五年的淨收入下降41%,引發了以下問題:爲什麼良好的roe沒有轉化爲增長?我們認爲,可能有其他因素正在起作用,阻止了公司的增長,這些因素包括低收益保留或資本配置差。

Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 0.4% over the last few years, we found that Royalty Pharma's performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.

此外,即使與行業相比,在過去幾年中以0.4%的速度縮減收益的行業相比,我們發現Royalty Pharma的表現令人失望,因爲這表明公司的收益率下降速度比行業快。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:RPRX Past Earnings Growth June 13th 2024
納斯達克GS:RPRX過去的收益增長情況於2024年6月13日發佈。

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Royalty Pharma is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

附加價值的基礎在於公司的收益增長,投資者需要確定的是預期的收益增長或缺乏預期是否已經內在地反映在股價中。這樣,他們將知道股票是走向明朗前途還是陷入了泥濘之中。預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是P / E比率,它確定市場願意根據盈利前景爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查Royalty Pharma是基於其成長前景的高P / E還是低P / E進行交易,相對於其行業。

Is Royalty Pharma Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Royalty Pharma有效地重新投資其利潤嗎?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 49% (where it is retaining 51% of its profits), Royalty Pharma has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管具有正常的三年中位數的49%的股息支付率(它保留了其利潤的51%),但Royalty Pharma的收益已經下降了,就像我們上面看到的一樣。因此,在這裏可能有其他因素正在起作用,可能會影響增長。例如,業務面臨了一些逆風。

Moreover, Royalty Pharma has been paying dividends for four years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 20% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 26%, over the same period.

此外,Royalty Pharma已經支付股息四年,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層必須認爲股東更喜歡持續的股息,即使收益已經下降。我們的最新分析師數據顯示,公司未來的支付比率預計將在未來三年內下降到20%。因此,預期的支付比率下降可以解釋同期公司roe的預期增加至26%。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Royalty Pharma certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們認爲Royalty Pharma肯定有一些值得考慮的積極因素。儘管如此,我們對於roe很高且再投資率很高的情況下收益沒有增長感到失望。我們相信可能有一些外部因素可能對業務產生負面影響。話雖如此,根據目前的分析師估計,我們發現公司的收益增長率有望大幅提高。要了解有關公司最新分析師預測的更多信息,請查看此可視化工具。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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