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Is Omnicell (NASDAQ:OMCL) A Risky Investment?

Is Omnicell (NASDAQ:OMCL) A Risky Investment?

omnicell(納斯達克:OMCL)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/12 20:03

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Omnicell, Inc. (NASDAQ:OMCL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Howard Marks很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股價波動,“我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性…我所了解的每個務實的投資者都會擔心這個問題。”當您考慮到一個公司有多風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務通常與業務破產有關。然而,重要的問題在於:這筆債務會帶來多少風險? Importantly,奧姆尼賽爾(omnicell)(NASDAQ : OMCL) 的確有負債。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,當企業無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過其自身的現金流。資本主義的本質是“創造性破壞”這個過程,其中萎靡的企業被他們的銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見的(但依然痛苦的)場景是,企業必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的權益。當然,在企業中,債務可以是一種重要的工具,特別是在重資產的企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是將其現金和債務放在一起看。

What Is Omnicell's Net Debt?

Omnicell的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, Omnicell had US$570.4m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$512.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$58.1m.

正如您在下面看到的,Omnicell在2024年3月有5.704億美元的債務,與去年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表查看更多詳細信息。然而,它確實有5.124億美元的現金抵消了這筆債務,導致淨債務約爲5810萬美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:OMCL Debt to Equity History June 12th 2024
納斯達克(NASDAQ):Omnicell的股東權益負債比歷史記錄爲?2024年6月12日

How Healthy Is Omnicell's Balance Sheet?

Omnicell的資產負債表看起來如何?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Omnicell had liabilities of US$416.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$678.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$512.4m as well as receivables valued at US$260.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$322.2m.

我們可以看到最近的資產負債表顯示,Omnicell有4.164億美元的債務在一年內到期,678.8百萬美元的債務要在之後的時間內到期。抵消這些義務的是,它有5.124億美元的現金,以及價值2.605億美元的應收款項在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過了其現金和(短期)應收款項的總和322.2百萬美元。

Omnicell has a market capitalization of US$1.34b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Omnicell can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Omnicell 的市值爲13.4億美元,因此如果需要,它很可能籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但是我們絕對要留意其債務帶來的風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是開始時顯而易見的地方。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定Omnicell是否能隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現此分析師利潤預測的免費報告非常有趣。

Over 12 months, Omnicell made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$1.1b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在12個月內,Omnicell在EBIT水平上虧損,並看到其營業收入下降至11億美元,下降了13%。這不是我們想看到的。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

While Omnicell's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$30m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$21m into a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. For riskier companies like Omnicell I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

雖然Omnicell的營收下滑令人感到失望,但其利潤之前的利潤和稅前利潤(EBIT)虧損甚至更不吸引人。具體來說,EBIT虧損爲3000萬美元。當我們看到這一點並回想起其資產負債表上的負債,相對於現金,我們認爲公司有任何債務都是不明智的。坦白地說,我們認爲資產負債表離匹配狀態還有很長的路要走,儘管它可能會隨着時間的推移得到改善。在此期間,我們認爲該股仍存在很高的風險。對於像奧姆尼賽爾這樣風險較高的公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和收入趨勢。幸運的是,您可以單擊以查看我們的利潤、收入和經營現金流的互動圖。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有負債負擔的股票的投資者,則今天就可以發現我們的獨家淨現金增長股清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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