share_log

Investing in International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 68% Gain

Investing in International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 68% Gain

五年前投資國際商業機器公司(紐交所:IBM)將會爲您帶來68%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  06/11 00:18

It hasn't been the best quarter for International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:IBM) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 14% in that time. On the bright side the share price is up over the last half decade. Unfortunately its return of 26% is below the market return of 97%.

IBM國際商用機器公司(NYSE:IBM)股東們度過的不是最好的季度,因爲股價在此期間下跌了14%。但好消息是,在過去的五年中,股價上漲了。不幸的是,其回報率26%低於市場回報率97%。

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在值得更詳細地了解該公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話:“船隻將周遊世界,而‘地平派’仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……”考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。

During five years of share price growth, International Business Machines actually saw its EPS drop 1.5% per year.

IBM國際商用機器公司股價增長五年期間,實際上每年EPS下降了1.5%。

Since EPS is down a bit, and the share price is up, it's probably that the market previously had some concerns about the company, but the reality has been better than feared. In the long term, though, it will be hard for the share price rises to continue without improving EPS.

由於EPS略微下降,而股價上漲,這可能意味着市場先前對公司有些擔憂,但實際情況比擔憂的好。然而,從長期來看,如果不改善EPS,股價上漲將難以持續。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面可以看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(通過點擊圖像來查看確切數值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:IBM Earnings Per Share Growth June 10th 2024
紐交所IBM(NYSE:IBM)每股收益增長2024年6月10日

We know that International Business Machines has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling International Business Machines stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

我們知道IBM國際商用機器公司在過去三年中改善了其底線,但未來會怎樣呢?如果你正在考慮購買或出售IBM國際商用機器公司的股票,你應該查看這份有詳細報告的免費平衡表。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of International Business Machines, it has a TSR of 68% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報都很重要。 TSR包括拆股或折價融資等任何股息的價值,基於股息被再投資的假設。可以說,TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。在IBM國際商用機器公司的情況下,它在過去的5年中擁有68%的TSR。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫不奇怪,股息支付很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

We're pleased to report that International Business Machines shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 30% over one year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 11% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for International Business Machines you should be aware of.

我們很高興地報告,IBM國際商用機器公司股東在一年內獲得了總股東回報率30%。其中包括股息。這比過去半個十年的年化收益率11%好,暗示該公司近來表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能認爲,TSR的最近改善表明企業本身隨着時間的推移正在變得更好。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響非常值得,但有其他更重要的因素。例如:我們發現IBM國際商用機器公司有1個警示標誌,你應該知道它。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論