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C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE:AI) Looks Just Right With A 26% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Jun 9 21:13

Those holding C3.ai, Inc. (NYSE:AI) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, C3.ai may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.9x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 1.7x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:AI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 9th 2024

What Does C3.ai's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

There hasn't been much to differentiate C3.ai's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on C3.ai.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like C3.ai's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 70% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why C3.ai's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does C3.ai's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in C3.ai have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look into C3.ai shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for C3.ai that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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