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White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:WTM) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (NYSE:WTM) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

白山保險集團股票(NYSE:WTM)最近表現疲軟,但財務前景看好:市場錯了嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/07 20:24

It is hard to get excited after looking at White Mountains Insurance Group's (NYSE:WTM) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.8% over the past month. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study White Mountains Insurance Group's ROE in this article.

白山保險集團(NYSE:WTM)近一個月的股票下跌了5.8%,這讓人很難對其表現感到興奮。然而,該公司的基本面看起來相當不錯,並且長期財務通常與未來市場價格走勢保持一致。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究白山保險集團的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE或股東權益報酬率是一種有用的工具,用於評估一家公司能否有效地利用來自股東的投資產生回報。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資變成利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for White Mountains Insurance Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,白山保險集團的ROE爲:

13% = US$616m ÷ US$4.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

13% =美元616m ÷美元4.9b(基於截至2024年3月的最近十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.13 in profit.

“回報”是指公司過去一年的收益。一種理解方式是,對於每美元的股東資本,該公司實現了0.13美元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

既然我們已經確定ROE是一種有效的利潤生成標準,用於評估公司未來的盈利能力,我們現在需要評估公司“保留”爲未來增長而重新投資的利潤多少,這使我們對公司的增長潛力有了一個了解。一般而言,在其他條件相等的情況下,ROE和利潤留存高的公司,增長率比沒有這些屬性的公司要高。

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是公司利潤能力的一個衡量標準,現在我們需要評估公司再投資或“保留”的利潤,以此來了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長速度就越高,相對於不一定具備這些特徵的公司而言。

A Side By Side comparison of White Mountains Insurance Group's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

白山保險集團收益增長和13%的ROE的側面比較

At first glance, White Mountains Insurance Group seems to have a decent ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks quite decent. As you might expect, the 6.6% net income decline reported by White Mountains Insurance Group is a bit of a surprise. So, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

乍一看,白山保險集團似乎有一個不錯的ROE。即使與13%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的ROE看起來也相當不錯。正如您所預料的,白山保險集團報告的淨收入下降6.6%有點令人驚訝。因此,可能有一些其他方面可以解釋這一現象。例如,公司可能具有高的派息比率,或者企業將資本分配不當等。

However, when we compared White Mountains Insurance Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 8.4% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將白山保險集團的增長與行業相比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在下降,但同期內行業的收益增長了8.4%。這是相當令人擔憂的。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:WTM Past Earnings Growth June 7th 2024
NYSE:WTM過去的收益增長(截至2024年6月7日)

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if White Mountains Insurance Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

將價值與公司掛鉤的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長有關。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的收益增長或下降,無論哪種情況,都是定價的。然後,這有助於他們判斷股票是面臨着光明還是黯淡的未來。預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它確定市場願意基於其收益前景支付哪種價格。因此,您可能需要檢查白山保險集團的市盈率與其行業相比是較高還是較低。

Is White Mountains Insurance Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

白山保險集團是否有效利用其留存收益?

White Mountains Insurance Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 0.4% (or a retention ratio of 100%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

白山保險集團在過去三年中的低三年中位數派息比率爲0.4%(或留存比率爲100%),這意味着該公司保留了大部分收益用來促進其的增長,但事實上該公司的收益卻在下降。當一家公司保留大部分收益時,通常不會出現這種情況。因此,可能存在其他因素正在影響增長。例如,該企業面臨了一些阻力。

Additionally, White Mountains Insurance Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,白山保險集團至少在過去十年中已支付股息,這意味着即使沒有收益增長,該公司的管理層仍決心支付股息。

Summary

總的來說,我們對偉明環保的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡公司以高回報率再投資了其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致公司的收益大幅增長。但是,最新的行業分析師預測表明,該公司的收益預計將加速增長。

Overall, we feel that White Mountains Insurance Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for White Mountains Insurance Group visit our risks dashboard for free.

總體而言,我們認爲白山保險集團確實有一些可考慮的積極因素。雖然,儘管ROE和高再投資率很高,但收益增長缺乏增長仍然讓我們感到失望。我們認爲,可能有一些外部因素對業務產生了負面影響。雖然我們不會完全忽視該公司,但我們會嘗試確定該業務的風險程度,以做出更明智的決策。如果想了解我們已經爲白山保險集團確定的1項風險,請訪問我們的風險儀表板,免費獲取信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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