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Portland General Electric (NYSE:POR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Portland General Electric (NYSE:POR) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

波特蘭通用電氣(紐交所:POR)的資產負債表略顯緊張
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 19:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Portland General Electric Company (NYSE:POR) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得很好:“波動性並不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免永久性資本損失。”因此,聰明的投資人知道,債務——通常與破產有關——是評估一家公司風險的非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,波特蘭通用電氣公司(NYSE:POR)也借用了債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司承擔風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在一家公司無法輕鬆償還它時才會成爲實際問題,這可能通過籌集資本或使用其自有現金流進行償還。資本主義的一部分是“創造性破壞”的過程,失敗的企業會被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一個更加頻繁(但仍然很昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以白菜價發行股票,從而永久稀釋股東,以此來支持其資產負債表。當然,在企業中,債務可能是一個重要的工具,尤其是在資本投入大的企業中。考慮一家公司的債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務作爲一個整體考慮。

What Is Portland General Electric's Debt?

波特蘭通用電氣的債務情況是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Portland General Electric had debt of US$4.43b, up from US$3.55b in one year. However, it does have US$176.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$4.26b.

下圖(點擊可放大)顯示,截至2024年3月,波特蘭通用電氣的債務爲43.3億美元,比一年前的35.5億美元增長。但它有1.76億美元的現金抵消這一數額,導致淨債務約爲42.6億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:POR Debt to Equity History June 6th 2024
NYSE:POR的資本結構歷史記錄 2024年6月6日

How Healthy Is Portland General Electric's Balance Sheet?

波特蘭通用電氣的資產負債表狀況如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Portland General Electric had liabilities of US$885.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$7.24b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$176.0m as well as receivables valued at US$412.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$7.54b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

從最新的資產負債表數據中可以看出,波特蘭通用電氣有8.85億美元的負債在12個月內到期,超過12個月到期的負債爲72.4億美元。抵消這些義務的是,它擁有1.76億美元的現金和價值4.12億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多754億美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$4.56b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Portland General Electric would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

這裏的虧損壓得像揹着滿滿書包、運動器材和小號的孩子一樣重,所以我們肯定認爲股東們需要密切關注這一點。最後,如果債權人要求償還,波特蘭通用電氣可能需要進行重大資本重組。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們使用兩個主要比率來分析債務與收益之間的關係。第一個比率是淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,第二個比率是其利潤前利潤和稅(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出的次數(或其利息覆蓋比率)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮到了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA的比率),以及與這些債務相關的實際利息支出(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。

While Portland General Electric's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.3, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Portland General Electric improved its EBIT by 7.8% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Portland General Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

雖然波特蘭通用電氣的債務至息稅前利潤比(4.7)表明它使用了一些債務,但它的利息覆蓋率非常弱,只有2.3,表明它的槓桿很高。這在很大程度上是由於公司高額的折舊和攤銷費用造成的,這可以說使得其息稅前利潤非常慷慨,而其債務可能比它最初顯示的更加沉重。顯然,借錢成本對投資人的回報產生了負面影響。好消息是,波特蘭通用電氣在過去的12個月中提高了7.8%的息稅前利潤,逐漸減少了相對於其收益的負債水平。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但重要的是未來的收益,這將決定波特蘭通用電氣維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的自由報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Portland General Electric saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,雖然財務會喜歡會計利潤,但放貸者只接受冰冷的現金。因此,邏輯上應該分析該息稅前利潤中實際與自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,波特蘭通用電氣出現了大量的負自由現金流。雖然這可能是由於爲增長而進行的支出,但這使得債務變得更加危險。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Portland General Electric's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Portland General Electric commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Portland General Electric has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Portland General Electric has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

從外表上看,波特蘭通用電氣將息稅前利潤轉化爲自由現金流的能力使我們對該股產生了疑慮,其總負債水平也不比全年最繁忙的那家空無一人的餐廳更誘人。但好消息是,其息稅前利潤增長率是一個好兆頭,並使我們更加樂觀。我們還應該注意到,像波特蘭通用電氣這樣的公用事業行業公司通常可以毫無問題地使用債務。考慮到上述數據點,我們認爲波特蘭通用電氣的債務過多。儘管一些投資者喜歡這種高風險遊戲,但這顯然不適合我們。沒有疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到最多的有關債務。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表內,遠非如此。例如,波特蘭通用電氣有“4個預警信號”(其中1個非常重要),我們認爲你應該了解一下。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有這些工作之後,更感興趣於擁有堅實資產負債表的快速發展公司,請立即查看我們的淨現金成長股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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