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Is Zebra Technologies (NASDAQ:ZBRA) A Risky Investment?

Is Zebra Technologies (NASDAQ:ZBRA) A Risky Investment?

斑馬技術(NASDAQ:ZBRA)是一個有風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 03:05

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Zebra Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:ZBRA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李璐(受Charlie Munger的支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。” 因此,當您考慮任何股票的風險時,您需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。 我們注意到,Zebra Technologies Corporation (納斯達克代碼:ZBRA) 的資產負債表上確實有債務。 但是,這些負債對股東來說是否是一個問題?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法利用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債對企業造成風險。最終,如果公司無法履行其法律還款義務,股東可能一無所有。然而,一種更常見但仍然令人痛苦的情況是,它必須以低價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東權益。當然,很多公司使用債務資金來獲得增長,而沒有任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要要做的是同時查看其現金和債務。

What Is Zebra Technologies's Debt?

Zebra Technologies的債務是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zebra Technologies had US$2.12b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$163.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.96b.

下面的圖表(可單擊以獲得更多詳細信息)顯示,Zebra Technologies在2024年3月有21.2億美元的債務;與去年大致相同。 然而,它確實有1.63億美元的現金抵消,從而導致淨債務約爲19.6億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ZBRA Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
NasdaqGS:ZBRA資產負債歷史記錄截至2024年6月5日

How Strong Is Zebra Technologies' Balance Sheet?

Zebra Technologies的資產負債表情況如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zebra Technologies had liabilities of US$1.64b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.45b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$163.0m in cash and US$635.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.29b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據最後報告的資產負債表,Zebra Technologies有16.4億美元的負債需在12個月內償還,以及24.5億美元的負債需在12個月後償還。 抵消這一點的是,它擁有1.63億美元的現金和6.35億美元的應收賬款,這些應收賬款需在12個月內償還。 因此,它的負債總額超過現金和短期應收賬款約32.9億美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because Zebra Technologies is worth a massive US$15.8b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

這個缺口並不糟糕,因爲Zebra Technologies的市值高達158億美元,因此可能足以籌集足夠的資本來支持其資產負債表,如果需要的話。然而,認真檢查其償債能力仍然是值得的。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過查看淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)並計算其利息費用(利息覆蓋)來相對衡量公司的負債水平。這樣,我們考慮債務的絕對規模以及支付的利息費用。

Zebra Technologies has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Shareholders should be aware that Zebra Technologies's EBIT was down 46% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zebra Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Zebra Technologies的債務對EBITDA的比率爲2.8,其EBIT覆蓋了其利息支出的4.6倍。這表明儘管債務水平很大,但我們不會認爲它們有問題。 股東應該意識到,Zebra Technologies的EBIT去年下降了46%。如果這一下滑趨勢持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食主義者大會上出售鵝肝更困難。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的起點。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定Zebra Technologies是否能夠隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Zebra Technologies recorded free cash flow worth 51% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不夠。因此,我們始終檢查多少EBIT轉化爲自由現金流。在最近三年中,Zebra Technologies記錄了相當正常的價值,其自由現金流佔其EBIT的51%,這是因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這種自由現金流使公司在適當時候有能力償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Zebra Technologies's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Zebra Technologies is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zebra Technologies (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Zebra Technologies的EBIT增長的困難讓我們對其資產負債表的強度發生了懷疑,但我們考慮的其他數據點相對較爲可取。但好的一面是,它將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力真的不錯。當我們考慮到所有討論的因素時,我們認爲Zebra Technologies正在冒風險使用其債務。儘管債務可能提高回報,但我們認爲公司現在已經有足夠的槓桿力。顯然,分析債務時要關注資產負債表。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表內 - 遠非如此。這些風險很難發現。每個公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現Zebra Technologies有2個警告(其中1個有點令人擔憂!),您應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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