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Is MSA Safety (NYSE:MSA) A Risky Investment?

Is MSA Safety (NYSE:MSA) A Risky Investment?

MSA Safety(紐交所:msa safety)是否是一個高風險投資?
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 02:42

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, MSA Safety Incorporated (NYSE:MSA) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

伯克希爾·哈撒韋背書的外部基金經理陸立在談到“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失”時毫不避諱。因此,看起來明智的投資者知道,通常與破產有關的債務是評估公司風險的一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,紐交所 (NYSE) 的MSA安全公司(MSA Safety Incorporated)承擔了債務,但股東們應該擔心它使用債務嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有在公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,無論是通過籌集資本還是使用自有現金流,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以折扣價格發行股票,永久性稀釋股東,以加強其資產負債表。當然,很多公司使用債務來資助成長,而沒有任何負面後果。在考慮公司使用了多少債務時,第一件事是將其現金和債務放在一起看。

What Is MSA Safety's Net Debt?

MSA安全公司(MSA Safety's)的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that MSA Safety had US$596.2m of debt in March 2024, down from US$869.6m, one year before. However, it also had US$148.3m in cash, and so its net debt is US$447.8m.

您可以單擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,MSA安全公司有5.962億美元的債務,比一年前的869.6億美元降低。但是,該公司也擁有1.483億美元的現金,因此其淨債務爲4.478億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MSA Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
紐交所 (NYSE) :MSA公司負債/ 股本歷史 June 5th 2024

A Look At MSA Safety's Liabilities

根據上一份財務報表,MSA安全公司應付的短期債務爲3.165億美元,應付的長期債務爲8.631億美元。另一方面,它現金爲1.483億美元,應收賬款爲2.791億美元。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和752.2百萬美元

According to the last reported balance sheet, MSA Safety had liabilities of US$316.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$863.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$148.3m and US$279.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$752.2m.

由於MSA安全公司的市值爲69.5億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。儘管如此,顯而易見的是,我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。

Given MSA Safety has a market capitalization of US$6.95b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

MSA安全公司具有僅爲0.94的較低淨債務/ EBITDA比率。它的利息費用被其EBIT覆蓋了10.9倍。因此,您可以認爲它被債務威脅的程度不亞於大象被老鼠威脅的程度。另一個好的跡象是,MSA安全公司已經能夠在十二個月內將其EBIT增長27%,這使得償還債務變得更容易。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解到債務的大多數內容。但是,公司未來的盈利能力最終將決定MSA安全公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收益的大小,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)以及其稅前收益與利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)的比率。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了所支付的利率。

MSA Safety has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.94. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that MSA Safety has been able to increase its EBIT by 27% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MSA Safety can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

最後,公司只能用真金白銀而不是會計利潤來還債。因此,值得檢查多少EBIT是由自由現金流支持的。從最近三年的數據來看,MSA安全公司的自由現金流佔其EBIT的32%,這比我們預期的要弱。這種差強人意的現金轉換使處理負債更加困難。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, MSA Safety recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

令人欣慰的是,MSA安全公司卓越的EBIT增長率表明它在債務方面處於優勢。但真相是,我們認爲它將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的能力會削弱這一印象。考慮到所有這些數據,我們認爲MSA安全公司對待債務的方法非常明智。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也可以爲股東增強回報。明確的是,當您分析債務時,資產負債表是需要關注的領域。但是,從資產負債表之外存在的風險而言,每家公司都可能存在風險。請注意,MSA安全公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了2個警告信號,您需要知道...

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, MSA Safety's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that MSA Safety takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that MSA Safety is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

簡而言之,企業只能用實實在在的現金而不是會計利潤來償還債務。因此,值得檢查多少EBIT是由自由現金流支持的。從最近三年的數據來看,MSA安全公司的自由現金流佔其EBIT的32%,這比我們預期的要弱。這種差強人意的現金轉換使處理負債更加困難。幸運的是,MSA安全公司的卓越EBIT增長率表明它在債務方面處於優勢。但是,事實並非如此,我們認爲它將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流的能力有點削弱這個形象。考慮到所有這些數據,我們認爲MSA安全公司對待債務的方法非常明智。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也可以爲股東增強回報。明確的是,當您分析債務時,資產負債表是需要關注的領域。但是,從資產負債表之外存在的風險而言,每家公司都可能存在風險。請注意,MSA安全公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了2個警告信號,您需要知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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